GossipBall
Primeira LigaSaturday 27 September 2025 ·

Moreirense vs Casa Pia result and stats

44%
test home win
2–1
full time
27%
draw
28%
test away win
Win probability: home 44%, draw 27%, away 28%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Moreirense beat Casa Pia 2–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 27 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Moreirense 44%, the draw 27% and Casa Pia 28%, so a home win had a 44% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

MOCP
12
Shots
20
4
On target
4
6
Corners
8
13
Fouls
15
5
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
1

Recent form

Moreirense
L @ Sporting CP0–3 · 22 Sep
W v Rio Ave3–1 · 13 Sep
L @ Gil Vicente0–2 · 29 Aug
W v Vitória SC2–0 · 23 Aug
W @ Santa Clara1–0 · 17 Aug
Casa Pia
D v Famalicão1–1 · 21 Sep
W @ Arouca2–0 · 14 Sep
L v Nacional0–2 · 30 Aug
L @ Porto0–4 · 24 Aug
W @ AVS2–0 · 15 Aug

Head to head

In 4 league meetings since 2024, Moreirense won 2, Casa Pia won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Feb 2025, finished Moreirense 3–2 Casa Pia, a win for Moreirense.

Moreirense 3–2 Casa Pia15 Feb 2025
Casa Pia 3–1 Moreirense14 Sep 2024
Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense12 May 2024
Moreirense 1–4 Casa Pia8 Jan 2024

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]