GossipBall
Primeira LigaSaturday 2 May 2026 ·

Moreirense vs Estrela result and stats

52%
test home win
3–2
full time
25%
draw
23%
test away win
Win probability: home 52%, draw 25%, away 23%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Moreirense beat Estrela 3–2 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 2 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Moreirense 52%, the draw 25% and Estrela 23%, so a home win had a 52% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

MOES
14
Shots
10
5
On target
3
1
Corners
4
18
Fouls
18
4
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
0
1
Half-time goals
2

Recent form

Moreirense
L @ Benfica1–4 · 25 Apr
W v Estoril1–0 · 20 Apr
D @ Famalicão1–1 · 10 Apr
L v Sp Braga0–1 · 4 Apr
L v Arouca0–1 · 21 Mar
Estrela
L v Porto1–2 · 26 Apr
L @ Arouca0–1 · 19 Apr
L v Sporting CP0–1 · 11 Apr
L @ Nacional0–2 · 4 Apr
W v Casa Pia4–0 · 20 Mar

Head to head

In 5 league meetings since 2023, Moreirense won 1, Estrela won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 20 Dec 2025, was a 0–0 draw.

Estrela 0–0 Moreirense20 Dec 2025
Moreirense 1–1 Estrela2 Mar 2025
Estrela 2–1 Moreirense28 Sep 2024
Moreirense 2–2 Estrela7 Apr 2024
Estrela 0–1 Moreirense11 Nov 2023

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]