Nacional vs Alverca result and stats
Win probability: home 46%, draw 26%, away 28%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersNacional beat Alverca 1–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 18 April 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Nacional 46%, the draw 26% and Alverca 28%, so a home win had a 46% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
NAAL
10Shots8
6On target4
4Corners8
15Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Nacional
L @ Benfica0–2 · 12 Apr
W v Estrela2–0 · 4 Apr
L @ Famalicão0–1 · 21 Mar
L v Estoril0–1 · 15 Mar
D @ Moreirense1–1 · 7 Mar
Alverca
W v Casa Pia3–1 · 12 Apr
W @ Rio Ave2–1 · 4 Apr
L v Sporting CP1–4 · 22 Mar
D @ Gil Vicente2–2 · 14 Mar
D v AVS0–0 · 7 Mar
Head to head
In 1 league meeting since 2025, Nacional won 0, Alverca won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Dec 2025, finished Alverca 1–0 Nacional, a win for Alverca.
Alverca 1–0 Nacional7 Dec 2025