Nacional vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 38%, draw 24%, away 38%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril won 1–0 away at Nacional in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 15 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Nacional 38%, the draw 24% and Estoril 38%, so an away win had a 38% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
NAES
16Shots11
4On target2
5Corners4
16Fouls13
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Nacional
D @ Moreirense1–1 · 7 Mar
L v Sp Braga1–2 · 28 Feb
L @ Arouca0–3 · 21 Feb
L v Porto0–1 · 15 Feb
D v Casa Pia0–0 · 8 Feb
Estoril
D v Casa Pia0–0 · 7 Mar
L @ Sporting CP0–3 · 27 Feb
W v Gil Vicente3–1 · 22 Feb
L @ AVS0–3 · 15 Feb
D v Tondela2–2 · 7 Feb
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2024, Nacional won 0, Estoril won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Oct 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Estoril 1–1 Nacional26 Oct 2025
Nacional 2–2 Estoril15 Feb 2025
Estoril 1–0 Nacional15 Sep 2024