Nacional vs Moreirense result and stats
Win probability: home 34%, draw 28%, away 38%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersNacional beat Moreirense 3–2 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 4 October 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Nacional 34%, the draw 28% and Moreirense 38%, so a home win had a 34% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
NAMO
17Shots10
7On target4
2Corners4
12Fouls16
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Nacional
W @ Sp Braga1–0 · 28 Sep
L v Arouca1–2 · 20 Sep
L @ Porto0–1 · 13 Sep
W @ Casa Pia2–0 · 30 Aug
L v Sporting CP1–4 · 23 Aug
Moreirense
W v Casa Pia2–1 · 27 Sep
L @ Sporting CP0–3 · 22 Sep
W v Rio Ave3–1 · 13 Sep
L @ Gil Vicente0–2 · 29 Aug
W v Vitória SC2–0 · 23 Aug
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Nacional won 1, Moreirense won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 27 Apr 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Moreirense 1–1 Nacional27 Apr 2025
Nacional 1–0 Moreirense14 Dec 2024