Nacional vs Porto result and stats
Win probability: home 13%, draw 21%, away 65%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersPorto won 1–0 away at Nacional in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 15 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Nacional 13%, the draw 21% and Porto 65%, so an away win had a 65% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
NAPO
9Shots8
2On target5
5Corners8
13Fouls11
4Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals0
Recent form
Nacional
D v Casa Pia0–0 · 8 Feb
L @ Sporting CP1–2 · 1 Feb
W v Rio Ave4–0 · 25 Jan
L @ Gil Vicente1–2 · 17 Jan
D v Santa Clara3–3 · 11 Jan
Porto
D v Sporting CP1–1 · 9 Feb
L @ Casa Pia1–2 · 2 Feb
W v Gil Vicente3–0 · 26 Jan
W @ Vitória SC1–0 · 18 Jan
W @ Santa Clara1–0 · 4 Jan
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2025, Nacional won 1, Porto won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Sep 2025, finished Porto 1–0 Nacional, a win for Porto.
Porto 1–0 Nacional13 Sep 2025
Porto 3–0 Nacional17 May 2025
Nacional 2–0 Porto12 Jan 2025