Nacional vs Rio Ave result and stats
Win probability: home 42%, draw 25%, away 34%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersNacional beat Rio Ave 4–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 25 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Nacional 42%, the draw 25% and Rio Ave 34%, so a home win had a 42% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
NARA
14Shots11
5On target6
5Corners5
18Fouls6
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Nacional
L @ Gil Vicente1–2 · 17 Jan
D v Santa Clara3–3 · 11 Jan
L @ Vitória SC1–2 · 2 Jan
D @ AVS2–2 · 21 Dec
W v Tondela3–1 · 15 Dec
Rio Ave
L v Benfica0–2 · 17 Jan
W v Casa Pia3–1 · 4 Jan
L @ Sporting CP0–4 · 28 Dec
D @ Gil Vicente2–2 · 20 Dec
L v Vitória SC0–1 · 13 Dec
Head to head
In 3 league meetings since 2024, Nacional won 0, Rio Ave won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 Aug 2025, was a 1–1 draw.
Rio Ave 1–1 Nacional17 Aug 2025
Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave10 May 2025
Rio Ave 2–1 Nacional29 Dec 2024