Porto vs Arouca result and stats
Win probability: home 80%, draw 13%, away 6%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersPorto beat Arouca 3–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Friday 27 February 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Porto 80%, the draw 13% and Arouca 6%, so a home win had a 80% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
POAR
20Shots7
7On target1
5Corners1
11Fouls14
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Porto
W v Rio Ave1–0 · 22 Feb
W @ Nacional1–0 · 15 Feb
D v Sporting CP1–1 · 9 Feb
L @ Casa Pia1–2 · 2 Feb
W v Gil Vicente3–0 · 26 Jan
Arouca
W v Nacional3–0 · 21 Feb
L @ Casa Pia2–3 · 14 Feb
W v Vitória SC3–2 · 7 Feb
W @ Rio Ave3–0 · 31 Jan
L v Sporting CP1–2 · 24 Jan
Head to head
In 9 league meetings since 2021, Porto won 7, Arouca won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 29 Sep 2025, finished Arouca 0–4 Porto, a win for Porto.
Arouca 0–4 Porto29 Sep 2025
Arouca 0–2 Porto1 Mar 2025
Porto 4–0 Arouca29 Sep 2024
Arouca 3–2 Porto12 Feb 2024
Porto 1–1 Arouca3 Sep 2023
Arouca 0–1 Porto8 May 2023