Porto vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 78%, draw 14%, away 8%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersPorto beat Estoril 1–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 30 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Porto 78%, the draw 14% and Estoril 8%, so a home win had a 78% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
POES
12Shots11
6On target2
5Corners4
14Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Porto
W @ Famalicão1–0 · 9 Nov
W v Sp Braga2–1 · 2 Nov
W @ Moreirense2–1 · 27 Oct
D v Benfica0–0 · 5 Oct
W @ Arouca4–0 · 29 Sep
Estoril
W v Arouca4–3 · 7 Nov
W @ Rio Ave4–0 · 1 Nov
D v Nacional1–1 · 26 Oct
D @ Casa Pia2–2 · 3 Oct
L v Sporting CP0–1 · 27 Sep
Head to head
In 8 league meetings since 2022, Porto won 5, Estoril won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 30 Mar 2025, finished Estoril 1–2 Porto, a win for Porto.
Estoril 1–2 Porto30 Mar 2025
Porto 4–0 Estoril3 Nov 2024
Estoril 1–0 Porto30 Mar 2024
Porto 0–1 Estoril3 Nov 2023
Porto 3–2 Estoril10 Mar 2023
Estoril 1–1 Porto17 Sep 2022