Porto vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 80%, draw 14%, away 6%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersPorto beat Estrela 3–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Monday 15 December 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Porto 80%, the draw 14% and Estrela 6%, so a home win had a 80% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
POES
20Shots6
6On target1
4Corners0
13Fouls17
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Porto
W @ Tondela2–0 · 7 Dec
W v Estoril1–0 · 30 Nov
W @ Famalicão1–0 · 9 Nov
W v Sp Braga2–1 · 2 Nov
W @ Moreirense2–1 · 27 Oct
Estrela
W v Arouca3–1 · 7 Dec
L @ Sporting CP0–4 · 30 Nov
D v Nacional1–1 · 9 Nov
W @ Casa Pia5–3 · 1 Nov
L v Rio Ave1–2 · 25 Oct
Head to head
In 4 league meetings since 2023, Porto won 3, Estrela won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 26 Apr 2025, finished Estrela 2–0 Porto, a win for Estrela.
Estrela 2–0 Porto26 Apr 2025
Porto 2–0 Estrela16 Dec 2024
Porto 2–0 Estrela17 Feb 2024
Estrela 0–1 Porto15 Sep 2023