Porto vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 79%, draw 14%, away 7%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersPorto beat Nacional 1–0 at home in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 13 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Porto 79%, the draw 14% and Nacional 7%, so a home win had a 79% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
PONA
11Shots5
5On target1
5Corners5
6Fouls14
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Porto
W @ Sporting CP2–1 · 30 Aug
W v Casa Pia4–0 · 24 Aug
W @ Gil Vicente2–0 · 18 Aug
W v Vitória SC3–0 · 11 Aug
W v Nacional3–0 · 17 May
Nacional
W @ Casa Pia2–0 · 30 Aug
L v Sporting CP1–4 · 23 Aug
D @ Rio Ave1–1 · 17 Aug
L v Gil Vicente0–2 · 9 Aug
L @ Porto0–3 · 17 May
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2025, Porto won 1, Nacional won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 17 May 2025, finished Porto 3–0 Nacional, a win for Porto.
Porto 3–0 Nacional17 May 2025
Nacional 2–0 Porto12 Jan 2025