GossipBall
Primeira LigaSunday 4 January 2026 ·

Rio Ave vs Casa Pia result and stats

43%
test home win
3–1
full time
26%
draw
31%
test away win
Win probability: home 43%, draw 26%, away 31%

Match report

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

Rio Ave beat Casa Pia 3–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 4 January 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Rio Ave 43%, the draw 26% and Casa Pia 31%, so a home win had a 43% chance. The favourite result came in.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC

Match stats

RACP
12
Shots
15
8
On target
5
9
Corners
4
10
Fouls
23
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
0
Half-time goals
0

Recent form

Rio Ave
L @ Sporting CP0–4 · 28 Dec
D @ Gil Vicente2–2 · 20 Dec
L v Vitória SC0–1 · 13 Dec
W @ AVS2–1 · 6 Dec
D v Santa Clara1–1 · 30 Nov
Casa Pia
D v Vitória SC0–0 · 28 Dec
W @ Tondela2–1 · 21 Dec
D v Gil Vicente1–1 · 13 Dec
L @ Santa Clara0–1 · 6 Dec
L v Alverca0–2 · 29 Nov

Head to head

In 6 league meetings since 2022, Rio Ave won 1, Casa Pia won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 29 Mar 2025, finished Casa Pia 2–1 Rio Ave, a win for Casa Pia.

Casa Pia 2–1 Rio Ave29 Mar 2025
Rio Ave 2–2 Casa Pia2 Nov 2024
Rio Ave 1–0 Casa Pia11 Feb 2024
Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave2 Sep 2023
Rio Ave 1–1 Casa Pia16 Apr 2023
Casa Pia 1–0 Rio Ave30 Oct 2022

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash.

Updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · [email protected]