Rio Ave vs Estoril result and stats
Win probability: home 44%, draw 24%, away 32%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersEstoril won 4–0 away at Rio Ave in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 1 November 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Rio Ave 44%, the draw 24% and Estoril 32%, so an away win had a 32% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
RAES
2Shots24
0On target6
0Corners6
10Fouls14
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
0Half-time goals2
Recent form
Rio Ave
W @ Estrela2–1 · 25 Oct
W v Tondela3–0 · 5 Oct
D @ Famalicão0–0 · 28 Sep
D @ Benfica1–1 · 23 Sep
L v Porto0–3 · 19 Sep
Estoril
D v Nacional1–1 · 26 Oct
D @ Casa Pia2–2 · 3 Oct
L v Sporting CP0–1 · 27 Sep
L @ Gil Vicente0–2 · 21 Sep
W v AVS3–1 · 13 Sep
Head to head
In 6 league meetings since 2022, Rio Ave won 1, Estoril won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2025, finished Estoril 2–1 Rio Ave, a win for Estoril.
Estoril 2–1 Rio Ave22 Feb 2025
Rio Ave 2–2 Estoril21 Sep 2024
Rio Ave 1–1 Estoril31 Jan 2024
Estoril 2–0 Rio Ave20 Aug 2023
Rio Ave 2–0 Estoril13 Feb 2023
Estoril 2–2 Rio Ave19 Aug 2022