Rio Ave vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 48%, draw 27%, away 26%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersRio Ave beat Estrela 2–1 at home in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 15 March 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Rio Ave 48%, the draw 27% and Estrela 26%, so a home win had a 48% chance. The favourite result came in.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
RAES
18Shots11
6On target3
10Corners4
16Fouls12
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Rio Ave
W @ Tondela1–0 · 9 Mar
D v Famalicão0–0 · 1 Mar
L @ Porto0–1 · 22 Feb
L v Moreirense1–2 · 16 Feb
L @ Sp Braga0–3 · 8 Feb
Estrela
D v Gil Vicente2–2 · 8 Mar
D @ AVS0–0 · 28 Feb
L v Tondela0–2 · 20 Feb
L @ Vitória SC1–2 · 14 Feb
W v Santa Clara1–0 · 7 Feb
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2023, Rio Ave won 2, Estrela won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 25 Oct 2025, finished Estrela 1–2 Rio Ave, a win for Rio Ave.
Estrela 1–2 Rio Ave25 Oct 2025
Rio Ave 2–0 Estrela5 May 2025
Estrela 1–0 Rio Ave23 Dec 2024
Estrela 2–2 Rio Ave14 Apr 2024
Rio Ave 1–1 Estrela2 Dec 2023