Rio Ave vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 49%, draw 26%, away 25%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersRio Ave and Nacional drew 1–1 in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 17 August 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Rio Ave 49%, the draw 26% and Nacional 25%, so a draw had a 26% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
RANA
20Shots13
9On target6
6Corners6
16Fouls18
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
1Half-time goals0
Recent form
Rio Ave
D v Gil Vicente1–1 · 16 May
D @ Nacional3–3 · 10 May
W v Estrela2–0 · 5 May
L @ Vitória SC0–3 · 27 Apr
D v Santa Clara1–1 · 18 Apr
Nacional
L v Gil Vicente0–2 · 9 Aug
L @ Porto0–3 · 17 May
D v Rio Ave3–3 · 10 May
L v Vitória SC1–2 · 3 May
D @ Moreirense1–1 · 27 Apr
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Rio Ave won 1, Nacional won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 10 May 2025, was a 3–3 draw.
Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave10 May 2025
Rio Ave 2–1 Nacional29 Dec 2024