Sp Braga vs Estrela result and stats
Win probability: home 76%, draw 15%, away 9%
Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersSp Braga and Estrela drew 2–2 in the Primeira Liga on Saturday 16 May 2026. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Sp Braga 76%, the draw 15% and Estrela 9%, so a draw had a 15% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
SBES
14Shots6
4On target4
7Corners1
13Fouls9
1Yellow cards5
0Red cards1
1Half-time goals1
Recent form
Sp Braga
D @ Benfica2–2 · 11 May
D v Estoril1–1 · 3 May
L @ Santa Clara1–2 · 26 Apr
W @ Casa Pia1–0 · 23 Apr
D v Famalicão2–2 · 19 Apr
Estrela
D v Famalicão0–0 · 11 May
L @ Moreirense2–3 · 2 May
L v Porto1–2 · 26 Apr
L @ Arouca0–1 · 19 Apr
L v Sporting CP0–1 · 11 Apr
Head to head
In 5 league meetings since 2023, Sp Braga won 3, Estrela won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 3 Jan 2026, was a 3–3 draw.
Estrela 3–3 Sp Braga3 Jan 2026
Estrela 0–1 Sp Braga19 Jan 2025
Sp Braga 1–1 Estrela11 Aug 2024
Sp Braga 3–0 Estrela2 Mar 2024
Estrela 2–4 Sp Braga28 Sep 2023