Sp Braga vs Nacional result and stats
Win probability: home 69%, draw 19%, away 12%

Match report
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersNacional won 1–0 away at Sp Braga in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 28 September 2025. This match was played before GossipBall launched. In a retrospective test using only results available before kick-off, GossipBall's ratings gave Sp Braga 69%, the draw 19% and Nacional 12%, so an away win had a 12% chance. It would have been an upset.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 30 October 2026, 05:56 UTC
Match stats
SBNA
9Shots13
1On target5
6Corners3
4Fouls7
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Half-time goals1
Recent form
Sp Braga
D @ Vitória SC1–1 · 20 Sep
L v Gil Vicente0–1 · 14 Sep
D @ Rio Ave2–2 · 31 Aug
D v AVS2–2 · 24 Aug
W @ Alverca3–0 · 17 Aug
Nacional
L v Arouca1–2 · 20 Sep
L @ Porto0–1 · 13 Sep
W @ Casa Pia2–0 · 30 Aug
L v Sporting CP1–4 · 23 Aug
D @ Rio Ave1–1 · 17 Aug
Head to head
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Sp Braga won 2, Nacional won 0 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 21 Feb 2025, finished Sp Braga 1–0 Nacional, a win for Sp Braga.
Sp Braga 1–0 Nacional21 Feb 2025
Nacional 0–3 Sp Braga20 Sep 2024