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Scottish PremiershipSaturday 7 November 2026 · Referee: D Nicolson

Aberdeen vs Hibernian prediction

33%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.5% chance
27%
draw
40%
away win
Win probability: home 33%, draw 27%, away 40%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Hibernian slight favourites to beat Aberdeen away from home in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC. It gives Aberdeen a 33% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Hibernian 40%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Aberdeen and 1.3 from Hibernian, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Aberdeen keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Hibernian in 31%.

Aberdeen are 10th in the table with 11 points from 11 games; Hibernian are 12th with 8. In their last five league games Aberdeen took 4 points (DLWLL) and Hibernian took 2 (DLLLD). This season Aberdeen average 1.25 expected goals (xG) for and 1.47 against per game; Hibernian average 1.54 for and 1.47 against.

In 20 league meetings since 2021, Aberdeen won 6, Hibernian won 9 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Sep 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
10
7
3
1
<1
1
9
13
8
4
1
<1
2
6
8
5
2
<1
<1
3
2
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Aberdeen goalsColumns: Hibernian goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.1%
0–110.5%
1–09.3%
1–28.5%
0–08.5%
2–17.5%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
72%
3 or more goals
46%
4 or more goals
24%
5 or more goals
11%
Both teams score
51%

GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.18 for Aberdeen and 1.32 for Hibernian.

Winning margin

Explained
Aberdeen by 3
3%
Aberdeen by 2
9%
Aberdeen by 1
19%
Draw
27%
Hibernian by 3
5%
Hibernian by 2
12%
Hibernian by 1
21%

Each team's goals

Explained
Aberdeen expected goals1.18
Hibernian expected goals1.32
Aberdeen keep a clean sheet27%
Hibernian keep a clean sheet31%
Aberdeen win without conceding18%
Hibernian win without conceding22%
Aberdeen score 2 or more33%
Hibernian score 2 or more38%

Recent form

Aberdeen
L v Falkirk0–1 · 28 Oct
L @ Dundee United2–3 · 24 Oct
W v St Mirren3–1 · 17 Oct
L v St Johnstone0–1 · 11 Oct
D @ Hibernian1–1 · 19 Sep
Hibernian
D @ St Mirren1–1 · 28 Oct
L v Celtic1–2 · 25 Oct
L v Falkirk1–2 · 17 Oct
L @ Dundee United0–1 · 10 Oct
D v Aberdeen1–1 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 20 league meetings since 2021, Aberdeen won 6, Hibernian won 9 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Sep 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen19 Sep 2026
Aberdeen 2–0 Hibernian11 Apr 2026
Hibernian 2–0 Aberdeen30 Dec 2025
Aberdeen 1–2 Hibernian26 Oct 2025
Aberdeen 1–0 Hibernian26 Apr 2025
Hibernian 2–0 Aberdeen1 Feb 2025

Season averages per game

ABEHIB
1.09
Goals
1.00
1.27
Conceded
1.55
1.25
xG
1.54
1.47
xG against
1.47
13.0
Shots
15.4
3.5
On target
3.7
5.8
Corners
6.3
2.55
Yellow cards
1.36
18%
Clean sheets
0%
36%
Both score
82%
46%
3+ goals
64%

Questions and answers

Who will win Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

GossipBall gives Aberdeen a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Hibernian 40%. GossipBall makes Hibernian slight favourites to beat Aberdeen away from home.

What is the predicted score for Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Aberdeen, 1.3 for Hibernian). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Aberdeen and Hibernian score.

Will there be three or more goals in Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.2 for Aberdeen, 1.3 for Hibernian).

When is Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and Hibernian?

In 20 league meetings since 2021, Aberdeen won 6, Hibernian won 9 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 19 Sep 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·