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Scottish PremiershipSunday 8 November 2026 · Referee: J Beaton

Celtic vs Kilmarnock prediction

84%
home win
predicted score
4–0
8.3% chance
10%
draw
5%
away win
Win probability: home 84%, draw 10%, away 5%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Celtic clear favourites to beat Kilmarnock at home in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 UTC. It gives Celtic a 84% chance of winning, puts the draw at 10% and gives Kilmarnock 5%.

GossipBall expects 3.3 goals from Celtic and 0.8 from Kilmarnock, so goals look likely: there is a 77% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 4–0. Celtic keep a clean sheet in 46% of outcomes, Kilmarnock in 4%.

Celtic are 1st in the table with 28 points from 12 games; Kilmarnock are 11th with 9. In their last five league games Celtic took 10 points (WWWDL) and Kilmarnock took 4 (LWLLD). This season Celtic average 2.69 expected goals (xG) for and 0.95 against per game; Kilmarnock average 1.34 for and 2.07 against.

In 14 league meetings since 2022, Celtic won 12, Kilmarnock won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 Aug 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic, a win for Celtic.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
2
1
<1
<1
1
6
5
2
<1
2
9
7
3
<1
<1
3
10
8
3
<1
<1
4
8
6
3
<1
<1
5
5
4
2
<1
Rows: Celtic goalsColumns: Kilmarnock goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 3–0 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

3–010.2%
2–09.3%
4–08.3%
3–17.9%
2–17.3%
4–16.5%
1 or more goals
98%
2 or more goals
91%
3 or more goals
77%
4 or more goals
58%
5 or more goals
38%
Both teams score
52%

GossipBall expects 4.0 goals in total: 3.27 for Celtic and 0.78 for Kilmarnock.

Winning margin

Explained
Celtic by 3
19%
Celtic by 2
20%
Celtic by 1
17%
Draw
10%
Kilmarnock by 3
0%
Kilmarnock by 2
1%
Kilmarnock by 1
4%

Each team's goals

Explained
Celtic expected goals3.27
Kilmarnock expected goals0.78
Celtic keep a clean sheet46%
Kilmarnock keep a clean sheet4%
Celtic win without conceding44%
Kilmarnock win without conceding2%
Celtic score 2 or more84%
Kilmarnock score 2 or more18%

Recent form

Celtic
L @ Falkirk0–2 · 1 Nov
D v Dundee United2–2 · 28 Oct
W @ Hibernian2–1 · 25 Oct
W v Hearts7–1 · 18 Oct
W @ Motherwell2–0 · 11 Oct
Kilmarnock
D v St Johnstone2–2 · 31 Oct
L @ Dundee1–3 · 28 Oct
L @ Falkirk0–3 · 24 Oct
W v Motherwell3–2 · 17 Oct
L @ Rangers1–3 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 14 league meetings since 2022, Celtic won 12, Kilmarnock won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 Aug 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic, a win for Celtic.

Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic9 Aug 2026
Kilmarnock 2–3 Celtic15 Feb 2026
Celtic 4–0 Kilmarnock9 Nov 2025
Kilmarnock 1–2 Celtic14 Sep 2025
Celtic 5–1 Kilmarnock12 Apr 2025
Kilmarnock 0–2 Celtic10 Nov 2024

Season averages per game

CELKIL
2.25
Goals
1.08
0.83
Conceded
2.33
2.69
xG
1.34
0.95
xG against
2.07
20.9
Shots
12.1
8.7
On target
4.0
9.5
Corners
5.3
1.75
Yellow cards
2.17
33%
Clean sheets
17%
50%
Both score
58%
58%
3+ goals
67%

Questions and answers

Who will win Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

GossipBall gives Celtic a 84% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Kilmarnock 5%. GossipBall makes Celtic clear favourites to beat Kilmarnock at home.

What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

GossipBall's predicted score is 4–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (3.3 for Celtic, 0.8 for Kilmarnock). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 3–0 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 4–0 (8%).

Will both teams score in Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Celtic and Kilmarnock score.

Will there be three or more goals in Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

There is a 77% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.0 goals in total (3.3 for Celtic, 0.8 for Kilmarnock).

When is Celtic vs Kilmarnock?

Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Kilmarnock?

In 14 league meetings since 2022, Celtic won 12, Kilmarnock won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 Aug 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic, a win for Celtic.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·