Celtic vs Kilmarnock prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Celtic clear favourites to beat Kilmarnock at home in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 UTC. It gives Celtic a 84% chance of winning, puts the draw at 10% and gives Kilmarnock 5%.
GossipBall expects 3.3 goals from Celtic and 0.8 from Kilmarnock, so goals look likely: there is a 77% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 4–0. Celtic keep a clean sheet in 46% of outcomes, Kilmarnock in 4%.
Celtic are 1st in the table with 28 points from 12 games; Kilmarnock are 11th with 9. In their last five league games Celtic took 10 points (WWWDL) and Kilmarnock took 4 (LWLLD). This season Celtic average 2.69 expected goals (xG) for and 0.95 against per game; Kilmarnock average 1.34 for and 2.07 against.
In 14 league meetings since 2022, Celtic won 12, Kilmarnock won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 Aug 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic, a win for Celtic.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 3–0 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 4.0 goals in total: 3.27 for Celtic and 0.78 for Kilmarnock.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 14 league meetings since 2022, Celtic won 12, Kilmarnock won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 Aug 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic, a win for Celtic.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
GossipBall gives Celtic a 84% chance of winning, the draw 10% and Kilmarnock 5%. GossipBall makes Celtic clear favourites to beat Kilmarnock at home.
What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
GossipBall's predicted score is 4–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (3.3 for Celtic, 0.8 for Kilmarnock). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 3–0 (10%), 2–0 (9%), 4–0 (8%).
Will both teams score in Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Celtic and Kilmarnock score.
Will there be three or more goals in Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
There is a 77% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.0 goals in total (3.3 for Celtic, 0.8 for Kilmarnock).
When is Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Kilmarnock?
In 14 league meetings since 2022, Celtic won 12, Kilmarnock won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 9 Aug 2026, finished Kilmarnock 1–5 Celtic, a win for Celtic.