Hearts vs Falkirk prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Hearts clear favourites to beat Falkirk at home in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Hearts a 61% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Falkirk 17%.
GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Hearts and 0.9 from Falkirk, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Hearts keep a clean sheet in 40% of outcomes, Falkirk in 14%.
Hearts are 3rd in the table with 20 points from 11 games; Falkirk are 4th with 18. In their last five league games Hearts took 8 points (DWLWD) and Falkirk took 12 (LWWWW). This season Hearts average 1.75 expected goals (xG) for and 1.56 against per game; Falkirk average 1.09 for and 1.72 against.
In 5 league meetings since 2025, Hearts won 4, Falkirk won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Sep 2026, finished Falkirk 2–1 Hearts, a win for Falkirk.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.95 for Hearts and 0.92 for Falkirk.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 5 league meetings since 2025, Hearts won 4, Falkirk won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Sep 2026, finished Falkirk 2–1 Hearts, a win for Falkirk.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Hearts vs Falkirk?
GossipBall gives Hearts a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Falkirk 17%. GossipBall makes Hearts clear favourites to beat Falkirk at home.
What is the predicted score for Hearts vs Falkirk?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Hearts, 0.9 for Falkirk). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Hearts vs Falkirk?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Hearts and Falkirk score.
Will there be three or more goals in Hearts vs Falkirk?
There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (2.0 for Hearts, 0.9 for Falkirk).
When is Hearts vs Falkirk?
Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Hearts and Falkirk?
In 5 league meetings since 2025, Hearts won 4, Falkirk won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Sep 2026, finished Falkirk 2–1 Hearts, a win for Falkirk.