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Scottish PremiershipSunday 8 November 2026 · Referee: M MacDermid

Hearts vs Falkirk prediction

61%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.9% chance
22%
draw
17%
away win
Win probability: home 61%, draw 22%, away 17%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Hearts clear favourites to beat Falkirk at home in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives Hearts a 61% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Falkirk 17%.

GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Hearts and 0.9 from Falkirk, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Hearts keep a clean sheet in 40% of outcomes, Falkirk in 14%.

Hearts are 3rd in the table with 20 points from 11 games; Falkirk are 4th with 18. In their last five league games Hearts took 8 points (DWLWD) and Falkirk took 12 (LWWWW). This season Hearts average 1.75 expected goals (xG) for and 1.56 against per game; Falkirk average 1.09 for and 1.72 against.

In 5 league meetings since 2025, Hearts won 4, Falkirk won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Sep 2026, finished Falkirk 2–1 Hearts, a win for Falkirk.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
5
2
<1
<1
1
11
10
5
1
<1
2
11
10
5
1
<1
3
7
6
3
<1
<1
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3
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<1
Rows: Hearts goalsColumns: Falkirk goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–010.8%
2–010.8%
1–110.4%
2–19.9%
3–07.0%
3–16.5%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
78%
3 or more goals
55%
4 or more goals
32%
5 or more goals
16%
Both teams score
52%

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.95 for Hearts and 0.92 for Falkirk.

Winning margin

Explained
Hearts by 3
11%
Hearts by 2
19%
Hearts by 1
24%
Draw
22%
Falkirk by 3
1%
Falkirk by 2
4%
Falkirk by 1
11%

Each team's goals

Explained
Hearts expected goals1.95
Falkirk expected goals0.92
Hearts keep a clean sheet40%
Falkirk keep a clean sheet14%
Hearts win without conceding34%
Falkirk win without conceding8%
Hearts score 2 or more58%
Falkirk score 2 or more23%

Recent form

Hearts
D v Rangers2–2 · 28 Oct
W @ Motherwell2–0 · 25 Oct
L @ Celtic1–7 · 18 Oct
W v St Mirren5–0 · 10 Oct
D @ Kilmarnock1–1 · 19 Sep
Falkirk
W v Celtic2–0 · 1 Nov
W @ Aberdeen1–0 · 28 Oct
W v Kilmarnock3–0 · 24 Oct
W @ Hibernian2–1 · 17 Oct
L v Dundee1–2 · 10 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 5 league meetings since 2025, Hearts won 4, Falkirk won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Sep 2026, finished Falkirk 2–1 Hearts, a win for Falkirk.

Falkirk 2–1 Hearts15 Sep 2026
Hearts 3–0 Falkirk13 May 2026
Hearts 1–0 Falkirk21 Feb 2026
Falkirk 0–2 Hearts13 Dec 2025
Hearts 3–0 Falkirk27 Sep 2025

Season averages per game

HEAFAL
2.18
Goals
1.25
1.55
Conceded
1.00
1.75
xG
1.09
1.56
xG against
1.72
16.6
Shots
11.5
5.4
On target
3.7
6.5
Corners
4.3
1.82
Yellow cards
1.83
27%
Clean sheets
33%
73%
Both score
58%
82%
3+ goals
50%

Questions and answers

Who will win Hearts vs Falkirk?

GossipBall gives Hearts a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Falkirk 17%. GossipBall makes Hearts clear favourites to beat Falkirk at home.

What is the predicted score for Hearts vs Falkirk?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Hearts, 0.9 for Falkirk). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (11%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Hearts vs Falkirk?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Hearts and Falkirk score.

Will there be three or more goals in Hearts vs Falkirk?

There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (2.0 for Hearts, 0.9 for Falkirk).

When is Hearts vs Falkirk?

Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Hearts and Falkirk?

In 5 league meetings since 2025, Hearts won 4, Falkirk won 1 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 15 Sep 2026, finished Falkirk 2–1 Hearts, a win for Falkirk.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·