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Scottish PremiershipSaturday 7 November 2026 · Referee: D Dickinson

St Johnstone vs Dundee prediction

38%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.5% chance
26%
draw
36%
away win
Win probability: home 38%, draw 26%, away 36%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees St Johnstone against Dundee as too close to call in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC. It gives St Johnstone a 38% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Dundee 36%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from St Johnstone and 1.3 from Dundee, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. St Johnstone keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Dundee in 25%.

St Johnstone are 7th in the table with 14 points from 12 games; Dundee are 5th with 17. In their last five league games St Johnstone took 6 points (WDLDD) and Dundee took 10 (WWDLW). This season St Johnstone average 1.18 expected goals (xG) for and 1.87 against per game; Dundee average 1.44 for and 1.66 against.

In 12 league meetings since 2021, St Johnstone won 2, Dundee won 5 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Sep 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
8
6
3
<1
<1
1
9
12
8
4
1
<1
2
6
8
6
3
<1
<1
3
3
4
3
1
<1
<1
4
1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: St Johnstone goalsColumns: Dundee goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.4%
1–08.8%
2–18.5%
0–18.5%
1–28.1%
0–06.8%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
76%
3 or more goals
51%
4 or more goals
29%
5 or more goals
14%
Both teams score
56%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.39 for St Johnstone and 1.33 for Dundee.

Winning margin

Explained
St Johnstone by 3
5%
St Johnstone by 2
11%
St Johnstone by 1
20%
Draw
26%
Dundee by 3
4%
Dundee by 2
10%
Dundee by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
St Johnstone expected goals1.39
Dundee expected goals1.33
St Johnstone keep a clean sheet26%
Dundee keep a clean sheet25%
St Johnstone win without conceding20%
Dundee win without conceding18%
St Johnstone score 2 or more41%
Dundee score 2 or more38%

Recent form

St Johnstone
D @ Kilmarnock2–2 · 31 Oct
D v Motherwell2–2 · 28 Oct
L @ Rangers0–4 · 24 Oct
D v Dundee United1–1 · 17 Oct
W @ Aberdeen1–0 · 11 Oct
Dundee
W v Kilmarnock3–1 · 28 Oct
L @ St Mirren1–2 · 24 Oct
D v Rangers2–2 · 17 Oct
W @ Falkirk2–1 · 10 Oct
W v Motherwell2–1 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 12 league meetings since 2021, St Johnstone won 2, Dundee won 5 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Sep 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Dundee 1–1 St Johnstone2 Sep 2026
St Johnstone 0–2 Dundee18 May 2025
Dundee 1–1 St Johnstone1 Mar 2025
St Johnstone 1–3 Dundee5 Jan 2025
Dundee 1–2 St Johnstone26 Oct 2024
St Johnstone 1–2 Dundee30 Mar 2024

Season averages per game

STJDUN
1.25
Goals
1.55
1.58
Conceded
1.18
1.18
xG
1.44
1.87
xG against
1.66
10.0
Shots
13.0
3.3
On target
4.6
3.0
Corners
5.1
1.33
Yellow cards
1.36
8%
Clean sheets
18%
67%
Both score
73%
50%
3+ goals
64%

Questions and answers

Who will win St Johnstone vs Dundee?

GossipBall gives St Johnstone a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dundee 36%. GossipBall sees St Johnstone against Dundee as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for St Johnstone vs Dundee?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for St Johnstone, 1.3 for Dundee). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in St Johnstone vs Dundee?

GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both St Johnstone and Dundee score.

Will there be three or more goals in St Johnstone vs Dundee?

There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.4 for St Johnstone, 1.3 for Dundee).

When is St Johnstone vs Dundee?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between St Johnstone and Dundee?

In 12 league meetings since 2021, St Johnstone won 2, Dundee won 5 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 2 Sep 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·