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Scottish PremiershipSaturday 7 November 2026 · Referee: N Walsh

St Mirren vs Rangers prediction

17%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.9% chance
22%
draw
61%
away win
Win probability: home 17%, draw 22%, away 61%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Rangers clear favourites to beat St Mirren away from home in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC. It gives St Mirren a 17% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Rangers 61%.

GossipBall expects 0.9 goals from St Mirren and 1.9 from Rangers, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. St Mirren keep a clean sheet in 14% of outcomes, Rangers in 39%.

St Mirren are 8th in the table with 14 points from 12 games; Rangers are 2nd with 24. In their last five league games St Mirren took 4 points (LLWDL) and Rangers took 11 (WWDWD). This season St Mirren average 1.26 expected goals (xG) for and 1.82 against per game; Rangers average 2.20 for and 1.11 against.

In 19 league meetings since 2021, St Mirren won 2, Rangers won 14 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Sep 2026, finished Rangers 1–0 St Mirren, a win for Rangers.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
11
11
7
3
1
1
5
10
10
6
3
1
2
2
5
5
3
1
<1
3
<1
2
1
<1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
Rows: St Mirren goalsColumns: Rangers goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

0–110.7%
0–210.6%
1–110.5%
1–29.9%
0–36.9%
1–36.4%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
78%
3 or more goals
55%
4 or more goals
32%
5 or more goals
16%
Both teams score
52%

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 0.94 for St Mirren and 1.94 for Rangers.

Winning margin

Explained
St Mirren by 3
1%
St Mirren by 2
4%
St Mirren by 1
12%
Draw
22%
Rangers by 3
11%
Rangers by 2
19%
Rangers by 1
24%

Each team's goals

Explained
St Mirren expected goals0.94
Rangers expected goals1.94
St Mirren keep a clean sheet14%
Rangers keep a clean sheet39%
St Mirren win without conceding9%
Rangers win without conceding33%
St Mirren score 2 or more24%
Rangers score 2 or more58%

Recent form

St Mirren
L @ Motherwell0–1 · 31 Oct
D v Hibernian1–1 · 28 Oct
W v Dundee2–1 · 24 Oct
L @ Aberdeen1–3 · 17 Oct
L @ Hearts0–5 · 10 Oct
Rangers
D @ Hearts2–2 · 28 Oct
W v St Johnstone4–0 · 24 Oct
D @ Dundee2–2 · 17 Oct
W v Kilmarnock3–1 · 10 Oct
W @ Celtic1–0 · 20 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 19 league meetings since 2021, St Mirren won 2, Rangers won 14 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Sep 2026, finished Rangers 1–0 St Mirren, a win for Rangers.

Rangers 1–0 St Mirren9 Sep 2026
St Mirren 0–1 Rangers15 Mar 2026
Rangers 2–1 St Mirren30 Dec 2025
St Mirren 1–1 Rangers24 Aug 2025
St Mirren 2–2 Rangers26 Apr 2025
Rangers 0–2 St Mirren22 Feb 2025

Season averages per game

STMRAN
1.00
Goals
1.73
1.67
Conceded
0.82
1.26
xG
2.20
1.82
xG against
1.11
12.2
Shots
19.4
3.7
On target
6.8
4.0
Corners
7.4
3.00
Yellow cards
1.82
25%
Clean sheets
46%
42%
Both score
55%
50%
3+ goals
55%

Questions and answers

Who will win St Mirren vs Rangers?

GossipBall gives St Mirren a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Rangers 61%. GossipBall makes Rangers clear favourites to beat St Mirren away from home.

What is the predicted score for St Mirren vs Rangers?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.9 for St Mirren, 1.9 for Rangers). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in St Mirren vs Rangers?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both St Mirren and Rangers score.

Will there be three or more goals in St Mirren vs Rangers?

There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (0.9 for St Mirren, 1.9 for Rangers).

When is St Mirren vs Rangers?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between St Mirren and Rangers?

In 19 league meetings since 2021, St Mirren won 2, Rangers won 14 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Sep 2026, finished Rangers 1–0 St Mirren, a win for Rangers.

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Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·