Serie AMatchday 12Sunday 22 November 2026 ·

Bologna vs Udinese prediction

53%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.7% chance
25%
draw
22%
away win
Win probability: home 53%, draw 25%, away 22%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Bologna favourites to beat Udinese at home in Serie A on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Bologna a 53% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Udinese 22%.

GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Bologna and 1.0 from Udinese, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Bologna keep a clean sheet in 37% of outcomes, Udinese in 19%.

Bologna are 9th in the table with 14 points from 10 games; Udinese are 19th with 5. In their last five league games Bologna took 12 points (WLWWW) and Udinese took 1 (LLLDL). This season Bologna average 1.50 expected goals (xG) for and 1.35 against per game; Udinese average 1.18 for and 2.26 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bologna won 4, Udinese won 1 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 23 Feb 2026, finished Bologna 1–0 Udinese, a win for Bologna.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
7
3
1
<1
1
11
12
6
2
<1
<1
2
10
10
5
2
<1
3
5
5
3
<1
<1
4
2
2
1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Bologna goalsColumns: Udinese goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–111.8%
1–011.3%
2–19.7%
2–09.6%
0–07.2%
0–16.7%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
75%
3 or more goals
50%
4 or more goals
28%
5 or more goals
13%
Both teams score
52%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.67 for Bologna and 1.00 for Udinese.

Winning margin

Explained
Bologna by 3
8%
Bologna by 2
16%
Bologna by 1
24%
Draw
25%
Udinese by 3
2%
Udinese by 2
6%
Udinese by 1
14%

Each team's goals

Explained
Bologna expected goals1.67
Udinese expected goals1.00
Bologna keep a clean sheet37%
Udinese keep a clean sheet19%
Bologna win without conceding30%
Udinese win without conceding12%
Bologna score 2 or more50%
Udinese score 2 or more26%

Recent form

Bologna
W v Monza2–1 · 31 Oct
W @ Milan4–2 · 28 Oct
W @ Cagliari2–0 · 24 Oct
L v Inter1–3 · 17 Oct
W @ Lecce2–1 · 11 Oct
Udinese
L v Roma2–5 · 31 Oct
D @ Parma0–0 · 28 Oct
L v Milan0–2 · 25 Oct
L v Lecce0–3 · 18 Oct
L @ Torino1–2 · 12 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bologna won 4, Udinese won 1 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 23 Feb 2026, finished Bologna 1–0 Udinese, a win for Bologna.

Bologna 1–0 Udinese23 Feb 2026
Udinese 0–3 Bologna22 Nov 2025
Udinese 0–0 Bologna28 Apr 2025
Bologna 1–1 Udinese18 Aug 2024
Bologna 1–1 Udinese28 Apr 2024
Udinese 3–0 Bologna30 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

BOLUDI
1.40
Goals
1.10
1.30
Conceded
2.30
1.50
xG
1.18
1.35
xG against
2.26
11.6
Shots
14.7
4.0
On target
4.4
4.0
Corners
4.5
2.10
Yellow cards
1.70
10%
Clean sheets
10%
60%
Both score
60%
50%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Bologna vs Udinese?

GossipBall gives Bologna a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Udinese 22%. GossipBall makes Bologna favourites to beat Udinese at home.

What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Udinese?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Bologna, 1.0 for Udinese). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).

Will both teams score in Bologna vs Udinese?

GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Bologna and Udinese score.

Will there be three or more goals in Bologna vs Udinese?

There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.7 for Bologna, 1.0 for Udinese).

When is Bologna vs Udinese?

Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Udinese?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Bologna won 4, Udinese won 1 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 23 Feb 2026, finished Bologna 1–0 Udinese, a win for Bologna.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC