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Cagliari vs Milan prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Milan favourites to beat Cagliari away from home in Serie A on Monday 30 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Cagliari a 22% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Milan 54%.
GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Cagliari and 1.7 from Milan, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Cagliari keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, Milan in 37%.
Cagliari are 9th in the table with 16 points from 11 games; Milan are 4th with 24. In their last five league games Cagliari took 3 points (LLLLW) and Milan took 12 (WWLWW). This season Cagliari average 1.20 expected goals (xG) for and 1.83 against per game; Milan average 1.66 for and 1.30 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Cagliari won 1, Milan won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Milan 1–2 Cagliari, a win for Cagliari.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 0.98 for Cagliari and 1.70 for Milan.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Cagliari won 1, Milan won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Milan 1–2 Cagliari, a win for Cagliari.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Cagliari vs Milan?
GossipBall gives Cagliari a 22% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Milan 54%. GossipBall makes Milan favourites to beat Cagliari away from home.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Milan?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Cagliari, 1.7 for Milan). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%).
Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Milan?
GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Cagliari and Milan score.
Will there be three or more goals in Cagliari vs Milan?
There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.0 for Cagliari, 1.7 for Milan).
When is Cagliari vs Milan?
Kick-off is Monday 30 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Cagliari and Milan?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Cagliari won 1, Milan won 5 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Milan 1–2 Cagliari, a win for Cagliari.