Serie AMatchday 15Saturday 12 December 2026 ·

Como vs Bologna prediction

50%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.4% chance
26%
draw
25%
away win
Win probability: home 50%, draw 26%, away 25%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Como favourites to beat Bologna at home in Serie A on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Como a 50% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Bologna 25%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Como and 1.0 from Bologna, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 51% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Como keep a clean sheet in 36% of outcomes, Bologna in 21%.

Como are 5th in the table with 23 points from 11 games; Bologna are 8th with 17. In their last five league games Como took 12 points (WWWWL) and Bologna took 12 (LWWWW). This season Como average 1.71 expected goals (xG) for and 1.30 against per game; Bologna average 1.68 for and 1.36 against.

In 4 league meetings since 2024, Como won 0, Bologna won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
7
4
1
<1
1
11
12
6
2
<1
<1
2
9
9
5
2
<1
3
5
5
3
<1
<1
4
2
2
1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Como goalsColumns: Bologna goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.3%
1–011.4%
2–19.4%
2–09.1%
0–07.7%
0–17.4%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
74%
3 or more goals
48%
4 or more goals
26%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
51%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.57 for Como and 1.03 for Bologna.

Winning margin

Explained
Como by 3
7%
Como by 2
15%
Como by 1
24%
Draw
26%
Bologna by 3
2%
Bologna by 2
7%
Bologna by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
Como expected goals1.57
Bologna expected goals1.03
Como keep a clean sheet36%
Bologna keep a clean sheet21%
Como win without conceding28%
Bologna win without conceding13%
Como score 2 or more47%
Bologna score 2 or more28%

Recent form

Como
L @ Inter0–2 · 8 Nov
W v Venezia1–0 · 1 Nov
W @ Torino3–1 · 27 Oct
W v Sassuolo2–0 · 24 Oct
W @ Fiorentina3–1 · 18 Oct
Bologna
W @ Parma2–1 · 7 Nov
W v Monza2–1 · 31 Oct
W @ Milan4–2 · 28 Oct
W @ Cagliari2–0 · 24 Oct
L v Inter1–3 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 4 league meetings since 2024, Como won 0, Bologna won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

Como 1–1 Bologna10 Jan 2026
Bologna 1–0 Como30 Aug 2025
Bologna 2–0 Como1 Feb 2025
Como 2–2 Bologna14 Sep 2024

Season averages per game

COMBOL
1.64
Goals
1.45
0.91
Conceded
1.27
1.71
xG
1.68
1.30
xG against
1.36
18.9
Shots
13.6
5.8
On target
4.5
6.6
Corners
5.0
1.09
Yellow cards
2.09
27%
Clean sheets
9%
55%
Both score
64%
46%
3+ goals
55%

Questions and answers

Who will win Como vs Bologna?

GossipBall gives Como a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bologna 25%. GossipBall makes Como favourites to beat Bologna at home.

What is the predicted score for Como vs Bologna?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Como, 1.0 for Bologna). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).

Will both teams score in Como vs Bologna?

GossipBall gives a 51% chance that both Como and Bologna score.

Will there be three or more goals in Como vs Bologna?

There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.6 for Como, 1.0 for Bologna).

When is Como vs Bologna?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Como and Bologna?

In 4 league meetings since 2024, Como won 0, Bologna won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 10 Jan 2026, was a 1–1 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC