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Como vs Cagliari prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Como clear favourites to beat Cagliari at home in Serie A on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Como a 64% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Cagliari 15%.
GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Como and 0.8 from Cagliari, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 52% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Como keep a clean sheet in 45% of outcomes, Cagliari in 14%.
Como are 4th in the table with 23 points from 10 games; Cagliari are 12th with 13. In their last five league games Como took 13 points (DWWWW) and Cagliari took 1 (DLLLL). This season Como average 1.86 expected goals (xG) for and 1.25 against per game; Cagliari average 1.22 for and 1.81 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Como won 2, Cagliari won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Cagliari 1–2 Como, a win for Como.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 1.95 for Como and 0.81 for Cagliari.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2024, Como won 2, Cagliari won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Cagliari 1–2 Como, a win for Como.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Como vs Cagliari?
GossipBall gives Como a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cagliari 15%. GossipBall makes Como clear favourites to beat Cagliari at home.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Cagliari?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Como, 0.8 for Cagliari). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Como vs Cagliari?
GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Como and Cagliari score.
Will there be three or more goals in Como vs Cagliari?
There is a 52% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (1.9 for Como, 0.8 for Cagliari).
When is Como vs Cagliari?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Como and Cagliari?
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Como won 2, Cagliari won 0 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Cagliari 1–2 Como, a win for Como.