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Fiorentina vs Cagliari prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Fiorentina favourites to beat Cagliari at home in Serie A on Monday 7 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Fiorentina a 51% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Cagliari 24%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Fiorentina and 1.0 from Cagliari, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 50% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Fiorentina keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Cagliari in 19%.
Fiorentina are 15th in the table with 9 points from 11 games; Cagliari are 9th with 16. In their last five league games Fiorentina took 5 points (LLDWD) and Cagliari took 3 (LLLLW). This season Fiorentina average 1.61 expected goals (xG) for and 1.55 against per game; Cagliari average 1.20 for and 1.83 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Fiorentina won 5, Cagliari won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari, a win for Cagliari.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.65 for Fiorentina and 1.04 for Cagliari.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Fiorentina won 5, Cagliari won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari, a win for Cagliari.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
GossipBall gives Fiorentina a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cagliari 24%. GossipBall makes Fiorentina favourites to beat Cagliari at home.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Fiorentina, 1.0 for Cagliari). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Fiorentina and Cagliari score.
Will there be three or more goals in Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
There is a 50% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.7 for Fiorentina, 1.0 for Cagliari).
When is Fiorentina vs Cagliari?
Kick-off is Monday 7 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Cagliari?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Fiorentina won 5, Cagliari won 1 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari, a win for Cagliari.