Serie AMatchday 14Sunday 6 December 2026 ·

Genoa vs Torino prediction

39%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.0% chance
29%
draw
31%
away win
Win probability: home 39%, draw 29%, away 31%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Genoa slight favourites to beat Torino at home in Serie A on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 11:30 UTC. It gives Genoa a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Torino 31%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Genoa and 1.0 from Torino, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 39% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Genoa keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Torino in 30%.

Genoa are 13th in the table with 13 points from 11 games; Torino are 11th with 14. In their last five league games Genoa took 9 points (LWWWL) and Torino took 7 (WWLLD). This season Genoa average 0.94 expected goals (xG) for and 1.25 against per game; Torino average 1.15 for and 1.40 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Genoa won 2, Torino won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Genoa 3–0 Torino, a win for Genoa.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
11
11
6
2
<1
<1
1
12
14
7
2
<1
<1
2
8
8
4
1
<1
3
3
3
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Genoa goalsColumns: Torino goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.6%
1–012.4%
0–010.8%
0–110.7%
2–18.0%
2–07.7%
1 or more goals
89%
2 or more goals
66%
3 or more goals
39%
4 or more goals
19%
5 or more goals
8%
Both teams score
46%

GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total: 1.21 for Genoa and 1.04 for Torino.

Winning margin

Explained
Genoa by 3
4%
Genoa by 2
11%
Genoa by 1
22%
Draw
29%
Torino by 3
3%
Torino by 2
9%
Torino by 1
19%

Each team's goals

Explained
Genoa expected goals1.21
Torino expected goals1.04
Genoa keep a clean sheet35%
Torino keep a clean sheet30%
Genoa win without conceding24%
Torino win without conceding19%
Genoa score 2 or more34%
Torino score 2 or more28%

Recent form

Genoa
L v Milan1–2 · 8 Nov
W @ Lecce2–1 · 1 Nov
W v Juventus2–0 · 28 Oct
W v Venezia1–0 · 25 Oct
L @ Roma0–2 · 17 Oct
Torino
D v Lecce1–1 · 7 Nov
L @ Frosinone0–2 · 1 Nov
L v Como1–3 · 27 Oct
W v Monza3–2 · 23 Oct
W @ Parma3–0 · 19 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Genoa won 2, Torino won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Genoa 3–0 Torino, a win for Genoa.

Genoa 3–0 Torino22 Feb 2026
Torino 2–1 Genoa26 Oct 2025
Torino 1–1 Genoa8 Feb 2025
Genoa 0–0 Torino7 Dec 2024
Genoa 0–0 Torino13 Jan 2024
Torino 1–0 Genoa3 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

GENTOR
1.00
Goals
1.36
1.45
Conceded
1.55
0.94
xG
1.15
1.25
xG against
1.40
11.7
Shots
10.6
3.1
On target
3.5
4.1
Corners
3.8
2.18
Yellow cards
1.27
18%
Clean sheets
9%
55%
Both score
73%
46%
3+ goals
64%

Questions and answers

Who will win Genoa vs Torino?

GossipBall gives Genoa a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Torino 31%. GossipBall makes Genoa slight favourites to beat Torino at home.

What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Torino?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Genoa, 1.0 for Torino). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (12%), 0–0 (11%).

Will both teams score in Genoa vs Torino?

GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Genoa and Torino score.

Will there be three or more goals in Genoa vs Torino?

There is a 39% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total (1.2 for Genoa, 1.0 for Torino).

When is Genoa vs Torino?

Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 11:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Genoa and Torino?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Genoa won 2, Torino won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Genoa 3–0 Torino, a win for Genoa.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC