Genoa vs Torino prediction
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Genoa slight favourites to beat Torino at home in Serie A on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 11:30 UTC. It gives Genoa a 39% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Torino 31%.
GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Genoa and 1.0 from Torino, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 39% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Genoa keep a clean sheet in 35% of outcomes, Torino in 30%.
Genoa are 13th in the table with 13 points from 11 games; Torino are 11th with 14. In their last five league games Genoa took 9 points (LWWWL) and Torino took 7 (WWLLD). This season Genoa average 0.94 expected goals (xG) for and 1.25 against per game; Torino average 1.15 for and 1.40 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Genoa won 2, Torino won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Genoa 3–0 Torino, a win for Genoa.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total: 1.21 for Genoa and 1.04 for Torino.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Genoa won 2, Torino won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Genoa 3–0 Torino, a win for Genoa.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Genoa vs Torino?
GossipBall gives Genoa a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Torino 31%. GossipBall makes Genoa slight favourites to beat Torino at home.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Torino?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Genoa, 1.0 for Torino). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (12%), 0–0 (11%).
Will both teams score in Genoa vs Torino?
GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Genoa and Torino score.
Will there be three or more goals in Genoa vs Torino?
There is a 39% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.2 goals in total (1.2 for Genoa, 1.0 for Torino).
When is Genoa vs Torino?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 11:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Genoa and Torino?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Genoa won 2, Torino won 3 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Genoa 3–0 Torino, a win for Genoa.