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Inter vs Genoa prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Inter clear favourites to beat Genoa at home in Serie A on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Inter a 73% chance of winning, puts the draw at 17% and gives Genoa 10%.
GossipBall expects 2.3 goals from Inter and 0.7 from Genoa, so goals look likely: there is a 59% chance of three or more goals and a 47% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 3–0. Inter keep a clean sheet in 48% of outcomes, Genoa in 10%.
Inter are 2nd in the table with 28 points from 11 games; Genoa are 13th with 13. In their last five league games Inter took 12 points (WWWLW) and Genoa took 9 (LWWWL). This season Inter average 2.62 expected goals (xG) for and 0.98 against per game; Genoa average 0.94 for and 1.25 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Inter won 5, Genoa won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Inter 2–0 Genoa, a win for Inter.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total: 2.34 for Inter and 0.74 for Genoa.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Inter won 5, Genoa won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Inter 2–0 Genoa, a win for Inter.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Inter vs Genoa?
GossipBall gives Inter a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Genoa 10%. GossipBall makes Inter clear favourites to beat Genoa at home.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Genoa?
GossipBall's predicted score is 3–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.3 for Inter, 0.7 for Genoa). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 3–0 (10%).
Will both teams score in Inter vs Genoa?
GossipBall gives a 47% chance that both Inter and Genoa score.
Will there be three or more goals in Inter vs Genoa?
There is a 59% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.1 goals in total (2.3 for Inter, 0.7 for Genoa).
When is Inter vs Genoa?
Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Genoa?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Inter won 5, Genoa won 0 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Inter 2–0 Genoa, a win for Inter.