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Lazio vs Atalanta prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Lazio against Atalanta as too close to call in Serie A on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Lazio a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Atalanta 36%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Lazio and 1.3 from Atalanta, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Lazio keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Atalanta in 27%.
Lazio are 1st in the table with 29 points from 11 games; Atalanta are 12th with 14. In their last five league games Lazio took 13 points (WWWWD) and Atalanta took 5 (LDDLW). This season Lazio average 1.57 expected goals (xG) for and 1.24 against per game; Atalanta average 1.51 for and 1.83 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lazio won 3, Atalanta won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Lazio 0–2 Atalanta, a win for Atalanta.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.31 for Lazio and 1.30 for Atalanta.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lazio won 3, Atalanta won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Lazio 0–2 Atalanta, a win for Atalanta.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Lazio vs Atalanta?
GossipBall gives Lazio a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atalanta 36%. GossipBall sees Lazio against Atalanta as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Atalanta?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Lazio, 1.3 for Atalanta). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Lazio vs Atalanta?
GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Lazio and Atalanta score.
Will there be three or more goals in Lazio vs Atalanta?
There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.3 for Lazio, 1.3 for Atalanta).
When is Lazio vs Atalanta?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Lazio and Atalanta?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Lazio won 3, Atalanta won 3 and 4 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Lazio 0–2 Atalanta, a win for Atalanta.