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Milan vs Parma prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Milan clear favourites to beat Parma at home in Serie A on Sunday 6 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Milan a 62% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Parma 15%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Milan and 0.7 from Parma, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 45% chance of three or more goals and a 43% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Milan keep a clean sheet in 48% of outcomes, Parma in 17%.
Milan are 4th in the table with 24 points from 11 games; Parma are 16th with 8. In their last five league games Milan took 12 points (WWLWW) and Parma took 4 (LLDWL). This season Milan average 1.66 expected goals (xG) for and 1.30 against per game; Parma average 0.82 for and 1.95 against.
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Milan won 1, Parma won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Milan 0–1 Parma, a win for Parma.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.76 for Milan and 0.72 for Parma.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 4 league meetings since 2024, Milan won 1, Parma won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Milan 0–1 Parma, a win for Parma.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Milan vs Parma?
GossipBall gives Milan a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Parma 15%. GossipBall makes Milan clear favourites to beat Parma at home.
What is the predicted score for Milan vs Parma?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Milan, 0.7 for Parma). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%).
Will both teams score in Milan vs Parma?
GossipBall gives a 43% chance that both Milan and Parma score.
Will there be three or more goals in Milan vs Parma?
There is a 45% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.8 for Milan, 0.7 for Parma).
When is Milan vs Parma?
Kick-off is Sunday 6 December 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Milan and Parma?
In 4 league meetings since 2024, Milan won 1, Parma won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 22 Feb 2026, finished Milan 0–1 Parma, a win for Parma.