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Monza vs Como prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Como clear favourites to beat Monza away from home in Serie A on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Monza a 17% chance of winning, puts the draw at 22% and gives Como 61%.
GossipBall expects 0.9 goals from Monza and 2.0 from Como, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Monza keep a clean sheet in 14% of outcomes, Como in 40%.
Monza are 18th in the table with 7 points from 11 games; Como are 5th with 23. In their last five league games Monza took 3 points (WLLLL) and Como took 12 (WWWWL). This season Monza average 1.56 expected goals (xG) for and 1.45 against per game; Como average 1.71 for and 1.30 against.
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Monza won 0, Como won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 5 Apr 2025, finished Monza 1–3 Como, a win for Como.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 0–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 0.92 for Monza and 1.96 for Como.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 2 league meetings since 2024, Monza won 0, Como won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 5 Apr 2025, finished Monza 1–3 Como, a win for Como.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Monza vs Como?
GossipBall gives Monza a 17% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Como 61%. GossipBall makes Como clear favourites to beat Monza away from home.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Como?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (0.9 for Monza, 2.0 for Como). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Monza vs Como?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Monza and Como score.
Will there be three or more goals in Monza vs Como?
There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (0.9 for Monza, 2.0 for Como).
When is Monza vs Como?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Como?
In 2 league meetings since 2024, Monza won 0, Como won 1 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 5 Apr 2025, finished Monza 1–3 Como, a win for Como.