Español
Português
Monza vs Fiorentina prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Fiorentina favourites to beat Monza away from home in Serie A on Monday 23 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Monza a 27% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Fiorentina 49%.
GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Monza and 1.7 from Fiorentina, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 55% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Monza keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, Fiorentina in 30%.
Monza are 18th in the table with 7 points from 10 games; Fiorentina are 16th with 8. In their last five league games Monza took 3 points (LWLLL) and Fiorentina took 4 (LLLDW). This season Monza average 1.59 expected goals (xG) for and 1.46 against per game; Fiorentina average 1.57 for and 1.46 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Monza won 2, Fiorentina won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Jan 2025, finished Monza 2–1 Fiorentina, a win for Monza.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 9 November 2026, 06:17 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.20 for Monza and 1.70 for Fiorentina.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2023, Monza won 2, Fiorentina won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Jan 2025, finished Monza 2–1 Fiorentina, a win for Monza.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Monza vs Fiorentina?
GossipBall gives Monza a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fiorentina 49%. GossipBall makes Fiorentina favourites to beat Monza away from home.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Fiorentina?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Monza, 1.7 for Fiorentina). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Monza vs Fiorentina?
GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Monza and Fiorentina score.
Will there be three or more goals in Monza vs Fiorentina?
There is a 55% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.2 for Monza, 1.7 for Fiorentina).
When is Monza vs Fiorentina?
Kick-off is Monday 23 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Monza and Fiorentina?
In 6 league meetings since 2023, Monza won 2, Fiorentina won 2 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 13 Jan 2025, finished Monza 2–1 Fiorentina, a win for Monza.