Serie AMatchday 12Saturday 21 November 2026 ·

Napoli vs Torino prediction

60%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.6% chance
23%
draw
17%
away win
Win probability: home 60%, draw 23%, away 17%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Napoli favourites to beat Torino at home in Serie A on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. It gives Napoli a 60% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Torino 17%.

GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Napoli and 0.8 from Torino, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 48% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Napoli keep a clean sheet in 44% of outcomes, Torino in 17%.

Napoli are 8th in the table with 14 points from 10 games; Torino are 10th with 13. In their last five league games Napoli took 7 points (WLDWL) and Torino took 9 (WWWLL). This season Napoli average 1.74 expected goals (xG) for and 1.28 against per game; Torino average 1.18 for and 1.52 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Napoli won 7, Torino won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 Mar 2026, finished Napoli 2–1 Torino, a win for Napoli.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
8
6
2
<1
<1
1
13
11
4
1
<1
2
12
10
4
1
<1
3
7
6
2
<1
<1
4
3
3
1
<1
5
1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Napoli goalsColumns: Torino goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–013.2%
2–011.8%
1–111.1%
2–19.6%
0–07.8%
3–07.0%
1 or more goals
92%
2 or more goals
73%
3 or more goals
48%
4 or more goals
26%
5 or more goals
12%
Both teams score
46%

GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.77 for Napoli and 0.81 for Torino.

Winning margin

Explained
Napoli by 3
10%
Napoli by 2
19%
Napoli by 1
25%
Draw
23%
Torino by 3
1%
Torino by 2
4%
Torino by 1
12%

Each team's goals

Explained
Napoli expected goals1.77
Torino expected goals0.81
Napoli keep a clean sheet44%
Torino keep a clean sheet17%
Napoli win without conceding37%
Torino win without conceding9%
Napoli score 2 or more53%
Torino score 2 or more20%

Recent form

Napoli
L @ Juventus0–2 · 1 Nov
W @ Monza4–1 · 28 Oct
D v Roma3–3 · 24 Oct
L @ Venezia0–1 · 17 Oct
W v Frosinone3–0 · 10 Oct
Torino
L @ Frosinone0–2 · 1 Nov
L v Como1–3 · 27 Oct
W v Monza3–2 · 23 Oct
W @ Parma3–0 · 19 Oct
W v Udinese2–1 · 12 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Napoli won 7, Torino won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 Mar 2026, finished Napoli 2–1 Torino, a win for Napoli.

Napoli 2–1 Torino6 Mar 2026
Torino 1–0 Napoli18 Oct 2025
Napoli 2–0 Torino27 Apr 2025
Torino 0–1 Napoli1 Dec 2024
Napoli 1–1 Torino8 Mar 2024
Torino 3–0 Napoli7 Jan 2024

Season averages per game

NAPTOR
1.70
Goals
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.60
1.74
xG
1.18
1.28
xG against
1.52
15.6
Shots
10.8
5.6
On target
3.7
5.3
Corners
3.8
1.00
Yellow cards
1.10
30%
Clean sheets
10%
50%
Both score
70%
50%
3+ goals
70%

Questions and answers

Who will win Napoli vs Torino?

GossipBall gives Napoli a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Torino 17%. GossipBall makes Napoli favourites to beat Torino at home.

What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Torino?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Napoli, 0.8 for Torino). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).

Will both teams score in Napoli vs Torino?

GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Napoli and Torino score.

Will there be three or more goals in Napoli vs Torino?

There is a 48% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.8 for Napoli, 0.8 for Torino).

When is Napoli vs Torino?

Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Napoli and Torino?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Napoli won 7, Torino won 2 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 6 Mar 2026, finished Napoli 2–1 Torino, a win for Napoli.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC