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Sassuolo vs Genoa prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Sassuolo against Genoa as too close to call in Serie A on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Sassuolo a 38% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Genoa 35%.
GossipBall expects 1.3 goals from Sassuolo and 1.2 from Genoa, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 47% chance of three or more goals and a 52% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Sassuolo keep a clean sheet in 29% of outcomes, Genoa in 27%.
Sassuolo are 17th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Genoa are 11th with 13. In their last five league games Sassuolo took 1 points (DLLLL) and Genoa took 12 (WLWWW). This season Sassuolo average 1.39 expected goals (xG) for and 1.80 against per game; Genoa average 0.92 for and 1.31 against.
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Sassuolo won 0, Genoa won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo, a win for Genoa.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total: 1.31 for Sassuolo and 1.25 for Genoa.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 6 league meetings since 2021, Sassuolo won 0, Genoa won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo, a win for Genoa.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Sassuolo vs Genoa?
GossipBall gives Sassuolo a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Genoa 35%. GossipBall sees Sassuolo against Genoa as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Genoa?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.3 for Sassuolo, 1.2 for Genoa). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Genoa?
GossipBall gives a 52% chance that both Sassuolo and Genoa score.
Will there be three or more goals in Sassuolo vs Genoa?
There is a 47% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.6 goals in total (1.3 for Sassuolo, 1.2 for Genoa).
When is Sassuolo vs Genoa?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and Genoa?
In 6 league meetings since 2021, Sassuolo won 0, Genoa won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Genoa 2–1 Sassuolo, a win for Genoa.