Serie AMatchday 13Sunday 29 November 2026 ·

Sassuolo vs Napoli prediction

19%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.9% chance
23%
draw
58%
away win
Win probability: home 19%, draw 23%, away 58%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Napoli favourites to beat Sassuolo away from home in Serie A on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC. It gives Sassuolo a 19% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Napoli 58%.

GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Sassuolo and 1.9 from Napoli, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 53% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Sassuolo keep a clean sheet in 16% of outcomes, Napoli in 37%.

Sassuolo are 17th in the table with 8 points from 11 games; Napoli are 10th with 15. In their last five league games Sassuolo took 0 points (LLLLL) and Napoli took 5 (LDWLD). This season Sassuolo average 1.28 expected goals (xG) for and 1.98 against per game; Napoli average 1.79 for and 1.24 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Sassuolo won 0, Napoli won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Napoli 1–0 Sassuolo, a win for Napoli.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
6
11
10
6
3
1
1
5
11
10
6
3
1
2
3
5
5
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1
<1
3
<1
2
2
1
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<1
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5
Rows: Sassuolo goalsColumns: Napoli goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.9%
0–110.5%
0–210.0%
1–29.9%
0–36.2%
1–36.2%
1 or more goals
94%
2 or more goals
78%
3 or more goals
54%
4 or more goals
32%
5 or more goals
16%
Both teams score
53%

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 0.99 for Sassuolo and 1.86 for Napoli.

Winning margin

Explained
Sassuolo by 3
1%
Sassuolo by 2
5%
Sassuolo by 1
13%
Draw
23%
Napoli by 3
10%
Napoli by 2
18%
Napoli by 1
24%

Each team's goals

Explained
Sassuolo expected goals0.99
Napoli expected goals1.86
Sassuolo keep a clean sheet16%
Napoli keep a clean sheet37%
Sassuolo win without conceding10%
Napoli win without conceding31%
Sassuolo score 2 or more26%
Napoli score 2 or more56%

Recent form

Sassuolo
L @ Roma0–3 · 7 Nov
L v Fiorentina2–4 · 2 Nov
L v Lazio2–6 · 27 Oct
L @ Como0–2 · 24 Oct
L @ Frosinone2–4 · 16 Oct
Napoli
D v Lazio1–1 · 8 Nov
L @ Juventus0–2 · 1 Nov
W @ Monza4–1 · 28 Oct
D v Roma3–3 · 24 Oct
L @ Venezia0–1 · 17 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Sassuolo won 0, Napoli won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Napoli 1–0 Sassuolo, a win for Napoli.

Napoli 1–0 Sassuolo17 Jan 2026
Sassuolo 0–2 Napoli23 Aug 2025
Sassuolo 1–6 Napoli28 Feb 2024
Napoli 2–0 Sassuolo27 Aug 2023
Sassuolo 0–2 Napoli17 Feb 2023
Napoli 4–0 Sassuolo29 Oct 2022

Season averages per game

SASNAP
1.45
Goals
1.64
2.64
Conceded
1.27
1.28
xG
1.79
1.98
xG against
1.24
12.6
Shots
15.6
4.5
On target
5.6
3.8
Corners
5.4
1.45
Yellow cards
1.18
0%
Clean sheets
27%
82%
Both score
55%
82%
3+ goals
46%

Questions and answers

Who will win Sassuolo vs Napoli?

GossipBall gives Sassuolo a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Napoli 58%. GossipBall makes Napoli favourites to beat Sassuolo away from home.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Napoli?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Sassuolo, 1.9 for Napoli). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (10%).

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Napoli?

GossipBall gives a 53% chance that both Sassuolo and Napoli score.

Will there be three or more goals in Sassuolo vs Napoli?

There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.0 for Sassuolo, 1.9 for Napoli).

When is Sassuolo vs Napoli?

Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and Napoli?

In 8 league meetings since 2021, Sassuolo won 0, Napoli won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Napoli 1–0 Sassuolo, a win for Napoli.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC