Serie AMatchday 13Saturday 28 November 2026 ·

Torino vs Lazio prediction

27%
home win
predicted score
1–2
8.9% chance
27%
draw
45%
away win
Win probability: home 27%, draw 27%, away 45%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Lazio favourites to beat Torino away from home in Serie A on Saturday 28 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC. It gives Torino a 27% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Lazio 45%.

GossipBall expects 1.0 goals from Torino and 1.4 from Lazio, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 43% chance of three or more goals and a 48% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Torino keep a clean sheet in 25% of outcomes, Lazio in 36%.

Torino are 11th in the table with 14 points from 11 games; Lazio are 1st with 29. In their last five league games Torino took 7 points (WWLLD) and Lazio took 13 (WWWWD). This season Torino average 1.15 expected goals (xG) for and 1.40 against per game; Lazio average 1.57 for and 1.24 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Torino won 2, Lazio won 3 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Torino 2–0 Lazio, a win for Torino.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9
12
9
4
1
<1
1
9
13
9
4
1
<1
2
5
6
5
2
<1
<1
3
2
2
2
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
Rows: Torino goalsColumns: Lazio goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.0%
0–112.2%
0–09.2%
1–28.9%
1–08.8%
0–28.7%
1 or more goals
91%
2 or more goals
70%
3 or more goals
43%
4 or more goals
22%
5 or more goals
10%
Both teams score
48%

GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total: 1.02 for Torino and 1.40 for Lazio.

Winning margin

Explained
Torino by 3
2%
Torino by 2
7%
Torino by 1
17%
Draw
27%
Lazio by 3
6%
Lazio by 2
14%
Lazio by 1
23%

Each team's goals

Explained
Torino expected goals1.02
Lazio expected goals1.40
Torino keep a clean sheet25%
Lazio keep a clean sheet36%
Torino win without conceding16%
Lazio win without conceding27%
Torino score 2 or more27%
Lazio score 2 or more41%

Recent form

Torino
D v Lecce1–1 · 7 Nov
L @ Frosinone0–2 · 1 Nov
L v Como1–3 · 27 Oct
W v Monza3–2 · 23 Oct
W @ Parma3–0 · 19 Oct
Lazio
D @ Napoli1–1 · 8 Nov
W v Cagliari2–1 · 1 Nov
W @ Sassuolo6–2 · 27 Oct
W v Parma2–1 · 24 Oct
W @ Juventus3–0 · 18 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Torino won 2, Lazio won 3 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Torino 2–0 Lazio, a win for Torino.

Torino 2–0 Lazio1 Mar 2026
Lazio 3–3 Torino4 Oct 2025
Lazio 1–1 Torino31 Mar 2025
Torino 2–3 Lazio29 Sep 2024
Torino 0–2 Lazio22 Feb 2024
Lazio 2–0 Torino27 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

TORLAZ
1.36
Goals
2.27
1.55
Conceded
0.82
1.15
xG
1.57
1.40
xG against
1.24
10.6
Shots
13.9
3.5
On target
4.7
3.8
Corners
4.8
1.27
Yellow cards
1.55
9%
Clean sheets
36%
73%
Both score
64%
64%
3+ goals
64%

Questions and answers

Who will win Torino vs Lazio?

GossipBall gives Torino a 27% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lazio 45%. GossipBall makes Lazio favourites to beat Torino away from home.

What is the predicted score for Torino vs Lazio?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.0 for Torino, 1.4 for Lazio). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 0–0 (9%).

Will both teams score in Torino vs Lazio?

GossipBall gives a 48% chance that both Torino and Lazio score.

Will there be three or more goals in Torino vs Lazio?

There is a 43% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.4 goals in total (1.0 for Torino, 1.4 for Lazio).

When is Torino vs Lazio?

Kick-off is Saturday 28 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Torino and Lazio?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Torino won 2, Lazio won 3 and 5 were drawn; the most recent, on 1 Mar 2026, finished Torino 2–0 Lazio, a win for Torino.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC