Serie AMatchday 13Sunday 29 November 2026 ·

Udinese vs Fiorentina prediction

30%
home win
predicted score
1–2
9.1% chance
26%
draw
44%
away win
Win probability: home 30%, draw 26%, away 44%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Fiorentina slight favourites to beat Udinese away from home in Serie A on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 11:30 UTC. It gives Udinese a 30% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Fiorentina 44%.

GossipBall expects 1.2 goals from Udinese and 1.5 from Fiorentina, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 55% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Udinese keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Fiorentina in 30%.

Udinese are 20th in the table with 5 points from 11 games; Fiorentina are 15th with 9. In their last five league games Udinese took 1 points (LLDLL) and Fiorentina took 5 (LLDWD). This season Udinese average 1.16 expected goals (xG) for and 2.19 against per game; Fiorentina average 1.61 for and 1.55 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Udinese won 4, Fiorentina won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Mar 2026, finished Udinese 3–0 Fiorentina, a win for Udinese.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
10
8
4
1
<1
1
8
12
9
5
2
<1
2
5
7
5
3
1
<1
3
2
3
2
1
<1
<1
4
<1
<1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Udinese goalsColumns: Fiorentina goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–112.3%
0–19.8%
1–29.1%
1–07.7%
0–27.6%
2–17.2%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
76%
3 or more goals
51%
4 or more goals
29%
5 or more goals
14%
Both teams score
55%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.20 for Udinese and 1.51 for Fiorentina.

Winning margin

Explained
Udinese by 3
3%
Udinese by 2
8%
Udinese by 1
18%
Draw
26%
Fiorentina by 3
6%
Fiorentina by 2
13%
Fiorentina by 1
22%

Each team's goals

Explained
Udinese expected goals1.20
Fiorentina expected goals1.51
Udinese keep a clean sheet22%
Fiorentina keep a clean sheet30%
Udinese win without conceding15%
Fiorentina win without conceding23%
Udinese score 2 or more34%
Fiorentina score 2 or more45%

Recent form

Udinese
L @ Venezia1–2 · 6 Nov
L v Roma2–5 · 31 Oct
D @ Parma0–0 · 28 Oct
L v Milan0–2 · 25 Oct
L v Lecce0–3 · 18 Oct
Fiorentina
D v Juventus2–2 · 8 Nov
W @ Sassuolo4–2 · 2 Nov
D v Atalanta2–2 · 29 Oct
L @ Inter1–2 · 25 Oct
L v Como1–3 · 18 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Udinese won 4, Fiorentina won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Mar 2026, finished Udinese 3–0 Fiorentina, a win for Udinese.

Udinese 3–0 Fiorentina2 Mar 2026
Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese21 Dec 2025
Udinese 2–3 Fiorentina25 May 2025
Fiorentina 1–2 Udinese23 Dec 2024
Fiorentina 2–2 Udinese14 Jan 2024
Udinese 0–2 Fiorentina24 Sep 2023

Season averages per game

UDIFIO
1.09
Goals
1.55
2.27
Conceded
2.27
1.16
xG
1.61
2.19
xG against
1.55
14.6
Shots
15.8
4.5
On target
5.1
4.7
Corners
4.9
1.64
Yellow cards
2.18
9%
Clean sheets
0%
64%
Both score
82%
64%
3+ goals
91%

Questions and answers

Who will win Udinese vs Fiorentina?

GossipBall gives Udinese a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Fiorentina 44%. GossipBall makes Fiorentina slight favourites to beat Udinese away from home.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Fiorentina?

GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.2 for Udinese, 1.5 for Fiorentina). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%).

Will both teams score in Udinese vs Fiorentina?

GossipBall gives a 55% chance that both Udinese and Fiorentina score.

Will there be three or more goals in Udinese vs Fiorentina?

There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.2 for Udinese, 1.5 for Fiorentina).

When is Udinese vs Fiorentina?

Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 11:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and Fiorentina?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Udinese won 4, Fiorentina won 5 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 2 Mar 2026, finished Udinese 3–0 Fiorentina, a win for Udinese.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC