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Süper LigFriday 6 November 2026 ·

Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa prediction

36%
home win
predicted score
2–1
8.4% chance
29%
draw
34%
away win
Win probability: home 36%, draw 29%, away 34%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall sees Gaziantep against Kasımpaşa as too close to call in the Süper Lig on Friday 6 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC. It gives Gaziantep a 36% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Kasımpaşa 34%.

GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Gaziantep and 1.3 from Kasımpaşa, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 51% chance of three or more goals and a 57% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Gaziantep keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Kasımpaşa in 26%.

Gaziantep are 16th in the table with 8 points from 10 games; Kasımpaşa are 5th with 17. In their last five league games Gaziantep took 0 points (LLLLL) and Kasımpaşa took 8 (DLWWD). This season Gaziantep average 1.04 expected goals (xG) for and 1.54 against per game; Kasımpaşa average 1.15 for and 1.13 against.

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gaziantep won 4, Kasımpaşa won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Feb 2026, finished Gaziantep 2–1 Kasımpaşa, a win for Gaziantep.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
9
7
6
3
<1
<1
1
7
14
8
4
1
<1
2
6
8
6
2
<1
<1
3
3
4
3
1
<1
<1
4
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Gaziantep goalsColumns: Kasımpaşa goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–114.1%
0–08.6%
2–18.4%
1–28.1%
1–07.4%
0–17.2%
1 or more goals
91%
2 or more goals
77%
3 or more goals
51%
4 or more goals
28%
5 or more goals
14%
Both teams score
57%

GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total: 1.37 for Gaziantep and 1.33 for Kasımpaşa.

Winning margin

Explained
Gaziantep by 3
4%
Gaziantep by 2
11%
Gaziantep by 1
19%
Draw
29%
Kasımpaşa by 3
4%
Kasımpaşa by 2
10%
Kasımpaşa by 1
18%

Each team's goals

Explained
Gaziantep expected goals1.37
Kasımpaşa expected goals1.33
Gaziantep keep a clean sheet26%
Kasımpaşa keep a clean sheet26%
Gaziantep win without conceding18%
Kasımpaşa win without conceding17%
Gaziantep score 2 or more40%
Kasımpaşa score 2 or more38%

Recent form

Gaziantep
L @ Trabzonspor0–2 · 1 Nov
L v Erzurumspor1–3 · 24 Oct
L @ Başakşehir1–2 · 18 Oct
L v Çorum0–3 · 11 Oct
L @ Kocaelispor0–2 · 19 Sep
Kasımpaşa
D v Beşiktaş2–2 · 1 Nov
W @ Eyüpspor1–0 · 24 Oct
W v Samsunspor4–1 · 18 Oct
L @ Galatasaray1–3 · 9 Oct
D v Konyaspor0–0 · 18 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gaziantep won 4, Kasımpaşa won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Feb 2026, finished Gaziantep 2–1 Kasımpaşa, a win for Gaziantep.

Gaziantep 2–1 Kasımpaşa9 Feb 2026
Kasımpaşa 2–3 Gaziantep30 Aug 2025
Gaziantep 2–2 Kasımpaşa24 May 2025
Kasımpaşa 2–2 Gaziantep5 Jan 2025
Gaziantep 2–0 Kasımpaşa21 Apr 2024
Kasımpaşa 4–2 Gaziantep3 Dec 2023

Season averages per game

GAZKAS
0.90
Goals
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.10
1.04
xG
1.15
1.54
xG against
1.13
13.6
Shots
12.8
3.9
On target
4.2
4.2
Corners
4.3
2.20
Yellow cards
2.50
20%
Clean sheets
30%
50%
Both score
70%
50%
3+ goals
50%

Questions and answers

Who will win Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa?

GossipBall gives Gaziantep a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Kasımpaşa 34%. GossipBall sees Gaziantep against Kasımpaşa as too close to call.

What is the predicted score for Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Gaziantep, 1.3 for Kasımpaşa). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 0–0 (9%), 2–1 (8%).

Will both teams score in Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa?

GossipBall gives a 57% chance that both Gaziantep and Kasımpaşa score.

Will there be three or more goals in Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa?

There is a 51% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.7 goals in total (1.4 for Gaziantep, 1.3 for Kasımpaşa).

When is Gaziantep vs Kasımpaşa?

Kick-off is Friday 6 November 2026 at 17:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Gaziantep and Kasımpaşa?

In 10 league meetings since 2021, Gaziantep won 4, Kasımpaşa won 4 and 2 were drawn; the most recent, on 9 Feb 2026, finished Gaziantep 2–1 Kasımpaşa, a win for Gaziantep.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·