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Süper LigSaturday 7 November 2026 ·

Göztepe vs Başakşehir prediction

42%
home win
predicted score
2–1
9.1% chance
28%
draw
30%
away win
Win probability: home 42%, draw 28%, away 30%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Göztepe slight favourites to beat Başakşehir at home in the Süper Lig on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 UTC. It gives Göztepe a 42% chance of winning, puts the draw at 28% and gives Başakşehir 30%.

GossipBall expects 1.6 goals from Göztepe and 1.3 from Başakşehir, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 56% chance of three or more goals and a 60% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Göztepe keep a clean sheet in 27% of outcomes, Başakşehir in 20%.

Göztepe are 9th in the table with 15 points from 10 games; Başakşehir are 10th with 14. In their last five league games Göztepe took 13 points (DWWWW) and Başakşehir took 10 (WDWLW). This season Göztepe average 1.95 expected goals (xG) for and 1.60 against per game; Başakşehir average 1.70 for and 1.58 against.

In 6 league meetings since 2021, Göztepe won 4, Başakşehir won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Başakşehir 2–1 Göztepe, a win for Başakşehir.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
7
6
5
2
<1
<1
1
7
13
8
3
1
<1
2
7
9
6
3
<1
<1
3
4
5
3
1
<1
<1
4
1
2
1
<1
<1
5
<1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Göztepe goalsColumns: Başakşehir goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–113.1%
2–19.1%
1–27.6%
0–07.1%
1–07.0%
2–06.9%
1 or more goals
93%
2 or more goals
80%
3 or more goals
56%
4 or more goals
33%
5 or more goals
17%
Both teams score
60%

GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.58 for Göztepe and 1.32 for Başakşehir.

Winning margin

Explained
Göztepe by 3
6%
Göztepe by 2
13%
Göztepe by 1
20%
Draw
28%
Başakşehir by 3
3%
Başakşehir by 2
9%
Başakşehir by 1
16%

Each team's goals

Explained
Göztepe expected goals1.58
Başakşehir expected goals1.32
Göztepe keep a clean sheet27%
Başakşehir keep a clean sheet20%
Göztepe win without conceding20%
Başakşehir win without conceding13%
Göztepe score 2 or more47%
Başakşehir score 2 or more38%

Recent form

Göztepe
W @ Fenerbahçe2–1 · 31 Oct
W v Çorum2–0 · 25 Oct
W @ Kocaelispor2–1 · 18 Oct
W @ Eyüpspor4–0 · 12 Oct
D v Rizespor2–2 · 20 Sep
Başakşehir
W v Samsunspor5–2 · 1 Nov
L @ Beşiktaş0–2 · 26 Oct
W v Gaziantep2–1 · 18 Oct
D @ Konyaspor0–0 · 11 Oct
W v Gençlerbirliği4–0 · 19 Sep

Head to head

Full record →

In 6 league meetings since 2021, Göztepe won 4, Başakşehir won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Başakşehir 2–1 Göztepe, a win for Başakşehir.

Başakşehir 2–1 Göztepe7 Mar 2026
Göztepe 1–0 Başakşehir5 Oct 2025
Göztepe 4–1 Başakşehir28 Apr 2025
Başakşehir 4–1 Göztepe30 Nov 2024
Başakşehir 1–2 Göztepe22 Jan 2022
Göztepe 2–1 Başakşehir12 Sep 2021

Season averages per game

GOZBAS
2.10
Goals
1.70
1.70
Conceded
1.60
1.95
xG
1.70
1.60
xG against
1.58
15.7
Shots
13.2
5.8
On target
4.6
4.9
Corners
4.5
2.50
Yellow cards
2.10
20%
Clean sheets
30%
70%
Both score
50%
80%
3+ goals
60%

Questions and answers

Who will win Göztepe vs Başakşehir?

GossipBall gives Göztepe a 42% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Başakşehir 30%. GossipBall makes Göztepe slight favourites to beat Başakşehir at home.

What is the predicted score for Göztepe vs Başakşehir?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.6 for Göztepe, 1.3 for Başakşehir). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).

Will both teams score in Göztepe vs Başakşehir?

GossipBall gives a 60% chance that both Göztepe and Başakşehir score.

Will there be three or more goals in Göztepe vs Başakşehir?

There is a 56% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.6 for Göztepe, 1.3 for Başakşehir).

When is Göztepe vs Başakşehir?

Kick-off is Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Göztepe and Başakşehir?

In 6 league meetings since 2021, Göztepe won 4, Başakşehir won 2 and 0 were drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Başakşehir 2–1 Göztepe, a win for Başakşehir.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·