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Belgian Pro LeagueSunday 8 November 2026 · Union SG vs Genk prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Union SG favourites to beat Genk at home in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Union SG a 59% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives Genk 16%.
GossipBall expects 1.7 goals from Union SG and 0.8 from Genk, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 46% chance of three or more goals and a 46% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Union SG keep a clean sheet in 46% of outcomes, Genk in 18%.
Union SG are 2nd in the table with 26 points from 10 games; Genk are 6th with 15. In their last five league games Union SG took 13 points (WWDWW) and Genk took 7 (DLWWL). This season Union SG average 1.86 expected goals (xG) for and 1.02 against per game; Genk average 1.92 for and 1.02 against.
In 14 league meetings since 2021, Union SG won 9, Genk won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Union SG 2–1 Genk, a win for Union SG.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–0 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total: 1.73 for Union SG and 0.78 for Genk.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 14 league meetings since 2021, Union SG won 9, Genk won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Union SG 2–1 Genk, a win for Union SG.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Union SG vs Genk?
GossipBall gives Union SG a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Genk 16%. GossipBall makes Union SG favourites to beat Genk at home.
What is the predicted score for Union SG vs Genk?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.7 for Union SG, 0.8 for Genk). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (12%).
Will both teams score in Union SG vs Genk?
GossipBall gives a 46% chance that both Union SG and Genk score.
Will there be three or more goals in Union SG vs Genk?
There is a 46% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.5 goals in total (1.7 for Union SG, 0.8 for Genk).
When is Union SG vs Genk?
Kick-off is Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Union SG and Genk?
In 14 league meetings since 2021, Union SG won 9, Genk won 4 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Union SG 2–1 Genk, a win for Union SG.