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Augsburg vs Mainz prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Augsburg against Mainz as too close to call in the Bundesliga on Sunday 22 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Augsburg a 37% chance of winning, puts the draw at 26% and gives Mainz 37%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Augsburg and 1.5 from Mainz, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 57% chance of three or more goals and a 61% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Augsburg keep a clean sheet in 23% of outcomes, Mainz in 23%.
Augsburg are 10th in the table with 9 points from 8 games; Mainz are 9th with 10. In their last five league games Augsburg took 2 points (LDLDL) and Mainz took 6 (WLWLL). This season Augsburg average 2.04 expected goals (xG) for and 2.55 against per game; Mainz average 2.08 for and 1.51 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 2, Mainz won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Mainz 2–0 Augsburg, a win for Mainz.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 8 November 2026, 00:31 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (12%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total: 1.48 for Augsburg and 1.49 for Mainz.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 2, Mainz won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Mainz 2–0 Augsburg, a win for Mainz.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Augsburg vs Mainz?
GossipBall gives Augsburg a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mainz 37%. GossipBall sees Augsburg against Mainz as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Augsburg vs Mainz?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Augsburg, 1.5 for Mainz). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in Augsburg vs Mainz?
GossipBall gives a 61% chance that both Augsburg and Mainz score.
Will there be three or more goals in Augsburg vs Mainz?
There is a 57% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.0 goals in total (1.5 for Augsburg, 1.5 for Mainz).
When is Augsburg vs Mainz?
Kick-off is Sunday 22 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Augsburg and Mainz?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Augsburg won 2, Mainz won 7 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Mainz 2–0 Augsburg, a win for Mainz.