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Bayer Leverkusen vs Paderborn prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Bayer Leverkusen clear favourites to beat Paderborn at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Bayer Leverkusen a 67% chance of winning, puts the draw at 21% and gives Paderborn 12%.
GossipBall expects 2.1 goals from Bayer Leverkusen and 0.8 from Paderborn, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 53% chance of three or more goals and a 47% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Bayer Leverkusen keep a clean sheet in 47% of outcomes, Paderborn in 13%.
Bayer Leverkusen are 6th in the table with 13 points from 8 games; Paderborn are 14th with 9. In their last five league games Bayer Leverkusen took 9 points (WWWLL) and Paderborn took 8 (WLDWD). This season Bayer Leverkusen average 1.95 expected goals (xG) for and 1.74 against per game; Paderborn average 1.02 for and 1.65 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 2–0 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total: 2.07 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.75 for Paderborn.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Paderborn?
GossipBall gives Bayer Leverkusen a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paderborn 12%. GossipBall makes Bayer Leverkusen clear favourites to beat Paderborn at home.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs Paderborn?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.1 for Bayer Leverkusen, 0.8 for Paderborn). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Will both teams score in Bayer Leverkusen vs Paderborn?
GossipBall gives a 47% chance that both Bayer Leverkusen and Paderborn score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bayer Leverkusen vs Paderborn?
There is a 53% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.8 goals in total (2.1 for Bayer Leverkusen, 0.8 for Paderborn).
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Paderborn?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC.