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Bayern Munich vs FC Köln prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Bayern Munich clear favourites to beat FC Köln at home in the Bundesliga on Friday 20 November 2026 at 19:30 UTC. It gives Bayern Munich a 89% chance of winning, puts the draw at 8% and gives FC Köln 4%.
GossipBall expects 3.9 goals from Bayern Munich and 0.8 from FC Köln, so goals look likely: there is a 85% chance of three or more goals and a 56% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 4–1. Bayern Munich keep a clean sheet in 43% of outcomes, FC Köln in 2%.
Bayern Munich are 1st in the table with 18 points from 8 games; FC Köln are 13th with 9. In their last five league games Bayern Munich took 11 points (WDWWD) and FC Köln took 5 (LWLDD). This season Bayern Munich average 3.54 expected goals (xG) for and 0.90 against per game; FC Köln average 1.55 for and 1.52 against.
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Bayern Munich won 7, FC Köln won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Bayern Munich 5–1 FC Köln, a win for Bayern Munich.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 6 November 2026, 15:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 3–0 (9%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 4.7 goals in total: 3.90 for Bayern Munich and 0.84 for FC Köln.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 8 league meetings since 2021, Bayern Munich won 7, FC Köln won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Bayern Munich 5–1 FC Köln, a win for Bayern Munich.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Bayern Munich vs FC Köln?
GossipBall gives Bayern Munich a 89% chance of winning, the draw 8% and FC Köln 4%. GossipBall makes Bayern Munich clear favourites to beat FC Köln at home.
What is the predicted score for Bayern Munich vs FC Köln?
GossipBall's predicted score is 4–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (3.9 for Bayern Munich, 0.8 for FC Köln). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 3–0 (9%), 4–0 (8%), 3–1 (7%).
Will both teams score in Bayern Munich vs FC Köln?
GossipBall gives a 56% chance that both Bayern Munich and FC Köln score.
Will there be three or more goals in Bayern Munich vs FC Köln?
There is a 85% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 4.7 goals in total (3.9 for Bayern Munich, 0.8 for FC Köln).
When is Bayern Munich vs FC Köln?
Kick-off is Friday 20 November 2026 at 19:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Bayern Munich and FC Köln?
In 8 league meetings since 2021, Bayern Munich won 7, FC Köln won 0 and 1 was drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Bayern Munich 5–1 FC Köln, a win for Bayern Munich.