BundesligaMatchday 12Saturday 5 December 2026 ·

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen prediction

predicted score
2–1
9.5% chance
23%
draw
25%
away win
Win probability: home 52%, draw 23%, away 25%

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Match preview

GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbers

GossipBall makes Eintracht Frankfurt favourites to beat Werder Bremen at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 17:30 UTC. It gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 52% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Werder Bremen 25%.

GossipBall expects 2.0 goals from Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.3 from Werder Bremen, so goals look likely: there is a 64% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Eintracht Frankfurt keep a clean sheet in 26% of outcomes, Werder Bremen in 14%.

Eintracht Frankfurt are 10th in the table with 12 points from 9 games; Werder Bremen are 6th with 15. In their last five league games Eintracht Frankfurt took 7 points (LWLWD) and Werder Bremen took 8 (DDWWL). This season Eintracht Frankfurt average 1.75 expected goals (xG) for and 1.98 against per game; Werder Bremen average 1.67 for and 1.47 against.

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Eintracht Frankfurt won 4, Werder Bremen won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Jan 2026, was a 3–3 draw.

GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC

Scoreline chances

How to read
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
4
4
3
1
<1
<1
1
6
10
6
3
<1
<1
2
7
10
6
3
<1
<1
3
5
6
4
2
<1
<1
4
2
3
2
<1
<1
5
<1
1
<1
<1
<1
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goalsColumns: Werder Bremen goals

Gold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.

Most common scorelines

1–110.3%
2–19.5%
2–07.1%
1–06.4%
1–26.4%
2–26.4%
1 or more goals
96%
2 or more goals
85%
3 or more goals
64%
4 or more goals
42%
5 or more goals
24%
Both teams score
64%

GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total: 1.98 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.34 for Werder Bremen.

Winning margin

Explained
Eintracht Frankfurt by 3
9%
Eintracht Frankfurt by 2
16%
Eintracht Frankfurt by 1
21%
Draw
23%
Werder Bremen by 3
3%
Werder Bremen by 2
7%
Werder Bremen by 1
14%

Each team's goals

Explained
Eintracht Frankfurt expected goals1.98
Werder Bremen expected goals1.34
Eintracht Frankfurt keep a clean sheet26%
Werder Bremen keep a clean sheet14%
Eintracht Frankfurt win without conceding22%
Werder Bremen win without conceding9%
Eintracht Frankfurt score 2 or more59%
Werder Bremen score 2 or more39%

Recent form

Eintracht Frankfurt
D @ Paderborn2–2 · 7 Nov
W v Hamburg3–1 · 1 Nov
L @ Borussia Dortmund0–1 · 24 Oct
W v FC Köln1–0 · 16 Oct
L @ RB Leipzig0–6 · 10 Oct
Werder Bremen
L @ Stuttgart0–1 · 7 Nov
W v Hoffenheim2–0 · 31 Oct
W @ Mainz3–2 · 24 Oct
D v Paderborn2–2 · 17 Oct
D @ Borussia Dortmund2–2 · 9 Oct

Head to head

Full record →

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Eintracht Frankfurt won 4, Werder Bremen won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Jan 2026, was a 3–3 draw.

Werder Bremen 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt16 Jan 2026
Eintracht Frankfurt 4–1 Werder Bremen23 Aug 2025
Werder Bremen 2–0 Eintracht Frankfurt5 Apr 2025
Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 Werder Bremen23 Nov 2024
Eintracht Frankfurt 1–1 Werder Bremen5 Apr 2024
Werder Bremen 2–2 Eintracht Frankfurt12 Nov 2023

Season averages per game

SGESVW
1.67
Goals
1.89
2.22
Conceded
1.67
1.75
xG
1.67
1.98
xG against
1.47
14.1
Shots
15.7
5.7
On target
6.4
5.0
Corners
4.4
2.11
Yellow cards
1.44
11%
Clean sheets
11%
67%
Both score
78%
78%
3+ goals
67%

Questions and answers

Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?

GossipBall gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Werder Bremen 25%. GossipBall makes Eintracht Frankfurt favourites to beat Werder Bremen at home.

What is the predicted score for Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?

GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (2.0 for Eintracht Frankfurt, 1.3 for Werder Bremen). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 2–0 (7%).

Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?

GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen score.

Will there be three or more goals in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?

There is a 64% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.3 goals in total (2.0 for Eintracht Frankfurt, 1.3 for Werder Bremen).

When is Eintracht Frankfurt vs Werder Bremen?

Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 17:30 UTC.

What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Frankfurt and Werder Bremen?

In 8 league meetings since 2022, Eintracht Frankfurt won 4, Werder Bremen won 1 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 Jan 2026, was a 3–3 draw.

GossipBall is a football statistics site, not a gambling service. We do not offer, promote, advertise or link to betting or gambling of any kind, show no bookmaker odds and receive no money from gambling companies. Predictions are statistical probabilities for information and entertainment only; they are not advice of any kind. Legal notice

Not affiliated with any league, club or governing body; names are used for identification only and no club or league logos are shown. Data: football-data.co.uk, football-data.org and openfootball. Photos: Sebastian Schuster, Victor, Lukáš Parničan and nika tchokhonelidze on Unsplash. Flags: circle-flags (MIT licence).

Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC · About · Legal & privacy · Guide · Previous predictions · Track record · Daily quiz · Weekly email · info@gossipball.com ·

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About GossipBallLegal & privacy Updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC