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Elversberg vs Freiburg prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Elversberg slight favourites to beat Freiburg at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Elversberg a 40% chance of winning, puts the draw at 23% and gives Freiburg 36%.
GossipBall expects 1.8 goals from Elversberg and 1.7 from Freiburg, so goals look likely: there is a 69% chance of three or more goals and a 69% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Elversberg keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, Freiburg in 16%.
Elversberg are 7th in the table with 13 points from 8 games; Freiburg are 3rd with 16. In their last five league games Elversberg took 7 points (DLWLW) and Freiburg took 7 (DWLLW). This season Elversberg average 1.41 expected goals (xG) for and 2.15 against per game; Freiburg average 1.68 for and 1.21 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 7 November 2026, 13:02 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total: 1.82 for Elversberg and 1.72 for Freiburg.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Elversberg vs Freiburg?
GossipBall gives Elversberg a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Freiburg 36%. GossipBall makes Elversberg slight favourites to beat Freiburg at home.
What is the predicted score for Elversberg vs Freiburg?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.8 for Elversberg, 1.7 for Freiburg). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Will both teams score in Elversberg vs Freiburg?
GossipBall gives a 69% chance that both Elversberg and Freiburg score.
Will there be three or more goals in Elversberg vs Freiburg?
There is a 69% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.5 goals in total (1.8 for Elversberg, 1.7 for Freiburg).
When is Elversberg vs Freiburg?
Kick-off is Saturday 21 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC.