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Freiburg vs Hoffenheim prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Freiburg favourites to beat Hoffenheim at home in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Freiburg a 46% chance of winning, puts the draw at 24% and gives Hoffenheim 31%.
GossipBall expects 1.9 goals from Freiburg and 1.5 from Hoffenheim, so goals look likely: there is a 65% chance of three or more goals and a 66% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1. Freiburg keep a clean sheet in 22% of outcomes, Hoffenheim in 16%.
Freiburg are 3rd in the table with 19 points from 9 games; Hoffenheim are 9th with 12. In their last five league games Freiburg took 9 points (WLLWW) and Hoffenheim took 9 (LWWLW). This season Freiburg average 1.78 expected goals (xG) for and 1.11 against per game; Hoffenheim average 1.89 for and 1.45 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Freiburg won 5, Hoffenheim won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Hoffenheim 3–0 Freiburg, a win for Hoffenheim.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (10%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total: 1.86 for Freiburg and 1.50 for Hoffenheim.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Freiburg won 5, Hoffenheim won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Hoffenheim 3–0 Freiburg, a win for Hoffenheim.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Freiburg vs Hoffenheim?
GossipBall gives Freiburg a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hoffenheim 31%. GossipBall makes Freiburg favourites to beat Hoffenheim at home.
What is the predicted score for Freiburg vs Hoffenheim?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–1, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.9 for Freiburg, 1.5 for Hoffenheim). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (7%).
Will both teams score in Freiburg vs Hoffenheim?
GossipBall gives a 66% chance that both Freiburg and Hoffenheim score.
Will there be three or more goals in Freiburg vs Hoffenheim?
There is a 65% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.4 goals in total (1.9 for Freiburg, 1.5 for Hoffenheim).
When is Freiburg vs Hoffenheim?
Kick-off is Saturday 5 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Freiburg and Hoffenheim?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Freiburg won 5, Hoffenheim won 2 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 14 Feb 2026, finished Hoffenheim 3–0 Freiburg, a win for Hoffenheim.