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Freiburg vs RB Leipzig prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes RB Leipzig slight favourites to beat Freiburg away from home in the Bundesliga on Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Freiburg a 33% chance of winning, puts the draw at 25% and gives RB Leipzig 42%.
GossipBall expects 1.5 goals from Freiburg and 1.7 from RB Leipzig, so goals look likely: there is a 62% chance of three or more goals and a 64% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Freiburg keep a clean sheet in 18% of outcomes, RB Leipzig in 23%.
Freiburg are 3rd in the table with 19 points from 9 games; RB Leipzig are 4th with 18. In their last five league games Freiburg took 9 points (WLLWW) and RB Leipzig took 12 (WLWWW). This season Freiburg average 1.78 expected goals (xG) for and 1.11 against per game; RB Leipzig average 2.50 for and 1.51 against.
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Freiburg won 1, RB Leipzig won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig, a win for Freiburg.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (11%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total: 1.48 for Freiburg and 1.71 for RB Leipzig.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →In 10 league meetings since 2021, Freiburg won 1, RB Leipzig won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig, a win for Freiburg.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?
GossipBall gives Freiburg a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and RB Leipzig 42%. GossipBall makes RB Leipzig slight favourites to beat Freiburg away from home.
What is the predicted score for Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.5 for Freiburg, 1.7 for RB Leipzig). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?
GossipBall gives a 64% chance that both Freiburg and RB Leipzig score.
Will there be three or more goals in Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?
There is a 62% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 3.2 goals in total (1.5 for Freiburg, 1.7 for RB Leipzig).
When is Freiburg vs RB Leipzig?
Kick-off is Sunday 29 November 2026 at 14:30 UTC.
What is the head-to-head record between Freiburg and RB Leipzig?
In 10 league meetings since 2021, Freiburg won 1, RB Leipzig won 6 and 3 were drawn; the most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig, a win for Freiburg.