Español
Português
Hamburg vs Schalke 04 prediction
Predict the score
How points workPlay the free GossipBall prediction game: points for the right result and the exact score, weekly leaderboards and private leagues with friends. No prizes, just bragging rights.
Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall makes Hamburg favourites to beat Schalke 04 at home in the Bundesliga on Friday 11 December 2026 at 19:30 UTC. It gives Hamburg a 48% chance of winning, puts the draw at 29% and gives Schalke 04 23%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Hamburg and 0.9 from Schalke 04, so a tight, low-scoring game is slightly more likely: there is a 40% chance of three or more goals and a 45% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0. Hamburg keep a clean sheet in 41% of outcomes, Schalke 04 in 25%.
Hamburg are 11th in the table with 12 points from 9 games; Schalke 04 are 17th with 6. In their last five league games Hamburg took 9 points (WWLLW) and Schalke 04 took 1 (LLDLL). This season Hamburg average 1.14 expected goals (xG) for and 1.86 against per game; Schalke 04 average 1.08 for and 2.03 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 13 November 2026, 22:23 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (14%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total: 1.40 for Hamburg and 0.90 for Schalke 04.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Hamburg vs Schalke 04?
GossipBall gives Hamburg a 48% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Schalke 04 23%. GossipBall makes Hamburg favourites to beat Schalke 04 at home.
What is the predicted score for Hamburg vs Schalke 04?
GossipBall's predicted score is 2–0, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Hamburg, 0.9 for Schalke 04). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (14%), 1–0 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
Will both teams score in Hamburg vs Schalke 04?
GossipBall gives a 45% chance that both Hamburg and Schalke 04 score.
Will there be three or more goals in Hamburg vs Schalke 04?
There is a 40% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.3 goals in total (1.4 for Hamburg, 0.9 for Schalke 04).
When is Hamburg vs Schalke 04?
Kick-off is Friday 11 December 2026 at 19:30 UTC.