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Paderborn vs Elversberg prediction
Predict the score
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Match preview
GossipBall's parrot has been crunching the numbersGossipBall sees Paderborn against Elversberg as too close to call in the Bundesliga on Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC. It gives Paderborn a 36% chance of winning, puts the draw at 27% and gives Elversberg 37%.
GossipBall expects 1.4 goals from Paderborn and 1.4 from Elversberg, so the goals line is finely balanced: there is a 54% chance of three or more goals and a 59% chance that both teams score. GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2. Paderborn keep a clean sheet in 24% of outcomes, Elversberg in 24%.
Paderborn are 13th in the table with 10 points from 9 games; Elversberg are 7th with 13. In their last five league games Paderborn took 6 points (LDWDD) and Elversberg took 6 (LWLWL). This season Paderborn average 1.15 expected goals (xG) for and 1.66 against per game; Elversberg average 1.39 for and 2.08 against.
GossipBall analysis · based on five seasons of results and expected goals · updated 14 November 2026, 03:12 UTC
Scoreline chances
How to readGold outline: the predicted score, built from the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (how). The single most common scoreline is 1–1 (13%), because a win is spread over many scorelines while a draw piles up on a few.
Most common scorelines
Goals
ExplainedGossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total: 1.41 for Paderborn and 1.44 for Elversberg.
Winning margin
ExplainedEach team's goals
ExplainedRecent form
Head to head
Full record →These teams haven't met in this league in the last five seasons.
Season averages per game
Questions and answers
Who will win Paderborn vs Elversberg?
GossipBall gives Paderborn a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Elversberg 37%. GossipBall sees Paderborn against Elversberg as too close to call.
What is the predicted score for Paderborn vs Elversberg?
GossipBall's predicted score is 1–2, based on the likeliest result and each team's expected goals (1.4 for Paderborn, 1.4 for Elversberg). Across all results, the most common scorelines are 1–1 (13%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Will both teams score in Paderborn vs Elversberg?
GossipBall gives a 59% chance that both Paderborn and Elversberg score.
Will there be three or more goals in Paderborn vs Elversberg?
There is a 54% chance of three or more goals. GossipBall expects 2.9 goals in total (1.4 for Paderborn, 1.4 for Elversberg).
When is Paderborn vs Elversberg?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 December 2026 at 14:30 UTC.